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Moscow is focusing on the Åland Islands as a potential target in the event of war with NATO, highlighting concerns over troop movements and military presence in the region.

As tensions escalate between Russia and NATO, particularly after Finland joined the alliance in April 2023, Moscow has identified the Åland Islands as a potential strategic target. The Åland Islands, an autonomous and demilitarized region of Finland with about 30,000 inhabitants, lie near the Baltic Sea and are geopolitically important due to their location between Sweden and Finland. Russian commentators have suggested that the most complicated situations in a war scenario could arise around these islands, which could be exploited amid Western divisions over defense priorities. In the past months, increased Russian military activity, including exercises and rhetoric, have focused on the Baltic region, sending signals of assertiveness toward demilitarized zones like Åland. Finland has responded with domestic political mobilization demanding closure of Russian consulates on Åland and increased security vigilance. Analysts warn that Moscow sees the island’s demilitarized status as a vulnerability, and it may attempt to change the status quo through military or political pressure. This development is seen as part of a broader Russian strategy to destabilize Western alliances and assert regional dominance in the Baltic Sea area.

Category: Military & Paramilitary Operations

Subcategory: Conventional Military Pressure

Incident Type: Troop movements near borders

Country: Finland

Source report: jamestown.org/program/m…

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