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Russian offensive stalls as Ukraine seizes initiative on key fronts

Russian gains in Ukraine have largely stalled. Over the past week, Russian troops secured just 21 square kilometers — the lowest weekly total since last spring. Data from the OSINT project DeepState point to a sharp slowdown in Moscow’s offensive capacity, while on certain sectors of the front Ukraine is seizing the initiative, the news outlet Agentstvo reports.

Most of the recorded movement by Russian units came in Donetsk region — about 46 square kilometers — with no reports of new settlements being captured. In Luhansk region, the increase totaled another 5 square kilometers.

At the same time, Russia lost control of areas in Dnipropetrovsk region: some positions shifted into a “gray zone,” reflecting counteroffensive activity by Ukrainian forces.

Since the beginning of February, Russia’s advance has steadily declined: previously 53 and 28 square kilometers per week, now just 21. The last time results were this weak was in March 2025. The trend increasingly underscores the depletion of the Russian army’s offensive potential.

Ukraine’s command reports major successes in the south. According to the General Staff, hundreds of square kilometers have been liberated since late January. Independent analysts corroborate changes in the front’s configuration, noting that some areas previously controlled by Russia are no longer held by Russian forces.

Western military officials increasingly point to a critical trend for the Kremlin: for months, Russian losses have outpaced replacements. That suggests a systemic erosion of the Russian military’s manpower and operational resilience amid a protracted war.

Source