Conducted in late 2026, the wargame simulated Russia establishing a militarily secured land corridor through Lithuania’s Suwalki Gap, linking Belarus and Kaliningrad amid heightened tensions post-Ukraine ceasefire. Germany reacted with sanctions, maritime measures, and internal preparations but initially avoided direct military confrontation. The scenario exposed Germany’s decision-making limits shaped by consensus and escalation fears rather than direct counteraction. Participants included former NATO and military leaders such as Oana Lungescu and Alexander Gabuev. The exercise highlighted structural weaknesses in Germany and NATO’s crisis response, emphasizing the challenges if the U.S. hesitates to lead decisively in conflicts involving Baltic NATO members.
Category: Military & Paramilitary Operations
Subcategory: Conventional Military Pressure
Incident Type: Troop movements near borders
Country: Germany
Source report: www.welt.de/politik/a…
