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  • Trump administration doesn't like working with Zelensky's top aide, Politico reports

    Trump administration doesn't like working with Zelensky's top aide, Politico reports

    Officials in Washington are frustrated with the diplomatic efforts of Andriy Yermak, head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office, and believe he may be undermining Ukraine’s efforts to win favor with U.S. President Donald Trump, Politico reported on June 19.

    Yermak, President Volodymyr Zelensky’s close friend and chief adviser, has represented Ukraine’s interests in Washington since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.

    According to 14 people who spoke to Politico, including U.S. and Ukrainian officials, many people in Washington find Yermak abrasive and uninformed, and fear that he is inaccurately conveying U.S. positions to Zelensky. While the Biden administration was willing to cooperate with Yermak, the Trump team is less accommodating — and more likely to rescind support for Ukraine.

    “All the people (in the U.S.) who want to withdraw and abandon Ukraine are thrilled to have Yermak around,” one person told Politico.

    One person familiar with the situation described Yermak as a “bipartisan irritator” who also frustrated officials under U.S. President Joe Biden. The former administration, however, did not find Yermak’s personality a valid reason to withdraw military and humanitarian aid from a key ally defending itself from an all-out war.

    Trump’s stance on Ukraine has been less supportive from the beginning. Since his inauguration in January, he has refused to approve new military aid packages for Kyiv or impose additional sanctions against Moscow. He has pursued warmer ties with Russia and criticized Zelensky more frequently and harshly than Russian President Vladimir Putin.

    Any hopes Ukraine has of winning over Trump may be jeopardized by the administrations tense relationship with Yermak, Politico’s sources suggested.

    During Yermak’s most recent visit to Washington, a last-minute trip in early June, he reportedly struggled to land meetings with Trump officials. One person familiar with the visit described Yermak as an “existential liability for Ukraine.”

    Sources described Yermak as overly demanding and ignorant of U.S. politics and processes. One person accused Yermak of acting as if Ukraine was the “center of the world” and said his attitude “has already affected the relationship (with Trump)."

    In a statement to Politico, Yermak said he was doing everything in his power to protect and support Ukraine.

    “If that means being considered ‘challenging’ by others — so be it,” he said.

    “I will wait many more hours outside any door if that helps my country and my president’s mission. I have no ambition to fully grasp how American politics works — I come to speak about the country I know best: Ukraine."

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Fourth year into Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, the decisive support Kyiv found among its neighbors to the west is beginning to show cracks. Once resolute Poland is seeing rising skepticism toward Ukraine, underscored by President-elect Karol Nawrocki’s election victory. Slovakia’s pro-Ukrainian government was ousted by Russian-friendly populists in the
    Trump administration doesn't like working with Zelensky's top aide, Politico reportsThe Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    Trump administration doesn't like working with Zelensky's top aide, Politico reports

  • American volunteer killed in June 17 attack becomes 1st US civilian victim of Russian strike in Ukraine, NYT reports

    American volunteer killed in June 17 attack becomes 1st US civilian victim of Russian strike in Ukraine, NYT reports

    Fred Grandy, a 62-year-old American artist and volunteer who was killed in Russia’s mass missile attack against Kyiv on June 17, appears to be the first U.S. civilian killed by a Russian strike on Ukraine, the New York Times (NYT) reported on June 19.

    Russia launched a massive assault on Kyiv overnight on June 17, pounding the capital with hundreds of kamikaze drones and multiple missiles in a nine-hour attack that left 28 dead and around 140 injured.

    Among the vicitms was Grandy, a U.S. citizen who arrived in Kyiv in May to volunteer to clear away rubble after Russian attacks. He had hoped to volunteer in Ukraine for five or six months, his sister told the NYT.

    “He was a person who wanted to make a difference so badly,”  Grandy’s sister Siestka Reed said. “I talked to him about five days ago, and he told me that he felt he was right where he should be."

    During the attack, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported that a 62-year-old U.S. citizen had died near one of the attack sites, but the details of their death remained unclear. The U.S. State Department and Ukrainian authorities later confirmed that a U.S. citizien had been killed, the NYT reported.

    According to Ukrainian authorities, Grandy died after sustaining shrapnel wounds.

    Before arriving in Kyiv, Grandy had worked as a bartender, bouncer, and builder. He was also an artist, fashioning bird houses and planters out of reclaimed wood and flowers out metal. According to his family, his desire to volunteer in Ukraine stemmed from his dismay at U.S. Presidend Donald Trump’s lack of support for Kyiv.

    Grandy was upset by Trump’s treatment of President Volodymyr Zelensky and withdrawal of military support, Reed told the NYT.  

    “He thought, you just don’t let a bully do that stuff, and you don’t just abandon people,” Reed said.

    “Then he saw how hard they fought to save their country, or are fighting still. It was just hard to understand walking away, you know? And he just believed that people need a hand up."

    Russian drone and missile attacks are not new, but in May and June, mass strikes on civilian targets surged. Russia has launched a number of record-breaking attacks on Ukrainian cities in recent weeks, resulting in hundreds of casualties.

    Moscow’s escalating aerial assaults have even directly harmed U.S. enterprises and individuals. An office used by the U.S. aerospace and defense giant Boeing was hit in a mass strike on Kyiv launched overnight June 9-10. The Financial Times (FT) reported that Russia deliberately targeted the site.

    Grandy’s death marks the first time a U.S. civilian has been killed in a Russian aerial attack against Ukraine.

    Meanwhile, Trump’s interest in securing a ceasefire in Ukraine appears to have fizzled out. He left the G7 Leaders Summit in Canada early, jettisoning a much-anticipated meeting with Zelensky, and barely responded to the mass attack on Kyiv.

    Trump refuses to sanction Russia and is reportedly obstructing congressional efforts to toughen sanctions on Russian oil profits.

    Trump’s peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech. When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle
    American volunteer killed in June 17 attack becomes 1st US civilian victim of Russian strike in Ukraine, NYT reportsThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    American volunteer killed in June 17 attack becomes 1st US civilian victim of Russian strike in Ukraine, NYT reports

  • Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    Key developments on June 19:

    • Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine
    • Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal
    • North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reports
    • Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chief
    • ‘Unwanted by their homeland’ — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as Ukrainian

    A senior Russian official on June 19 inadvertently confirmed the staggering troop losses incurred by Moscow’s forces during its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

    In an interview with CNN, Russian Ambassador to the U.K. Andrey Kelin was asked about Moscow’s maximalist intentions in Ukraine and its ability to recruit enough soldiers to fulfill them.

    Despite ongoing U.S.-led peace efforts, Russia continues to demand Ukraine withdraws from the four partially occupied regions — Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia — as a precondition for negotiations.

    Meanwhile, according to figures from Kyiv, Russia has suffered more than 1 million dead, wounded, and missing soldiers since the start of its full-scale invasion.

    Kelin dismissed the 1 million casualties figure but did confirm that “about 600,000” Russian soldiers were fighting in Ukraine, a number which tallies with Ukrainian estimates from January.

    The number is actually lower than the 700,000 (Russian President Vladimir) Putin claimed in June 2024, and the 617,000 he claimed in December 2023.

    Kelin was then asked about Russian army recruitment.

    “I’m not a specialist in this area, but as I understand it we have 50-60,000 a month, those volunteers who are coming, recruiting, posting, and they would like to get engaged in this thing (in Ukraine),” he replied.

    He did not explain why the size of the Russian army fighting in Ukraine has gone down despite what would amount to around 250,000 extra troops being recruited and sent to the front since the beginning of the year.

    According to figures from Ukraine’s General Staff, Russia has lost 217,440 troops since Jan. 1, 2025.

    The discrepancy tallies with Western analysis of Russia’s staggering losses.

    “They lose somewhere in the ballpark of 35,000 to 45,000 people per month, and perhaps they recruit a little bit north of that number,” George Barros, Russia team lead at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), told the Kyiv Independent earlier this month.

    Trump’s peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech. When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in UkraineThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal

    Ukraine has brought home a group of soldiers released from Russian captivity, President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on June 19, marking yet another in a recent series of exchanges with Moscow.

    “These are warriors of the Armed Forces, the National Guard, and the State Border Guard Service. Most of them had been held captive since 2022,” Zelensky said, without revealing their number.

    The exchange follows four similar swaps carried out last week in accordance with Ukraine-Russia agreements reached at peace talks in Istanbul on June 2.

    0:00
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    Ukrainian service members released from Russian captivity under a prisoner exchange on June 19, 2025. (Ukraine’s Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of the POWs)

    As in the other recent cases, the latest swap focused on severely ill and wounded prisoners of war (POWs), Ukraine’s Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs said.

    “We are working to bring our people back. I thank everyone who helps make these exchanges possible. Our goal is to free every single one of them,” Zelensky said.

    Russia’s Defense Ministry also announced a prisoner exchange with the Ukrainian side, without specifying the number of soldiers involved.

    “Every defender released today has serious medical diagnoses and illnesses resulting from their injuries and captivity,” the Coordination Headquarters said.

    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine
    Ukrainian soldiers after being released from Russian captivity on June 19, 2025. (President Volodymyr Zelensky/Telegram)
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine
    Ukrainian soldiers after being released from Russian captivity on June 19, 2025. (President Volodymyr Zelensky/Telegram)

    A significant part of the released captives defended Mariupol during the Russian siege in 2022, while others fought elsewhere in the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Kyiv oblasts. All of them are privates or non-commissioned officers.

    The oldest of the released captives was 63 years old, Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets said, adding that another, a 45-year-old service member, was released on his birthday.

    The Istanbul deal was reached during the second round of direct talks between the Ukrainian and Russian delegations in Istanbul at the beginning of the month.

    While no political breakthrough was achieved, both sides agreed to a phased exchange of prisoners and the repatriation of fallen soldiers' bodies. As part of that agreement, Russia pledged to return the bodies of up to 6,000 Ukrainian service members and citizens.

    Moscow has handed over 6,057 bodies to Ukraine in several stages over the past few days. Kyiv later said these also included fallen Russian soldiers.

    The June 2 agreements came after the largest-ever POW swap in late May, when 1,000 prisoners were exchanged on each side.

    Ukraine repeatedly called for a prisoner exchange in an all-for-all format, but Russia continues to reject the offer.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Fourth year into Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, the decisive support Kyiv found among its neighbors to the west is beginning to show cracks. Once resolute Poland is seeing rising skepticism toward Ukraine, underscored by President-elect Karol Nawrocki’s election victory. Slovakia’s pro-Ukrainian government was ousted by Russian-friendly populists in the
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in UkraineThe Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chief

    President Volodymyr Zelensky on June 19 appointed Brigadier General Hennadii Shapovalov as the new commander of Ukraine’s Ground Forces, following the resignation of Mykhailo Drapatyi earlier this month.

    Drapatyi stepped down on June 1 after a Russian missile strike killed at least 12 Ukrainian soldiers at a training ground in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. He described the casualties as young recruits who “should have learned, lived, and fought — not died."

    Zelensky accepted Drapatyi’s resignation and appointed him Commander of the Joint Forces on June 3. An investigation into the incident is ongoing, with the Ground Forces promising accountability if misconduct or negligence is confirmed.

    Shapovalov, born in 1978 in Kirovohrad Oblast, is a career officer who graduated from the Military Institute of Tank Troops in Kharkiv and later studied at the National Defense University of Ukraine. He also received training at the U.S. Army War College.

    Shapovalov previously led Ukraine’s South Operational Command in 2024 and was appointed in February 2025 as Ukraine’s representative to the NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU) mission in Germany.

    Drapatyi, in his final remarks as Ground Forces chief on June 11, said he had overhauled more than half of the command’s senior leadership, launched a revamp of recruitment centers, and pushed through reforms focused on decentralization, accountability, and modernization.

    Zelensky said Drapatyi’s new role would allow him to focus “exclusively on combat issues” as Ukraine faces intensifying Russian attacks across several fronts.

    Diplomacy in crisis: G7 letdowns reveal limits to Western solidarity on Ukraine
    KANANASKIS, Canada — The Group of Seven (G7) Leaders’ Summit ended on June 17 with no joint statement in support of Ukraine, no commitments to provide desperately needed U.S. weapons, and no meeting between President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump. The Ukrainian delegation headed into the summit,
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in UkraineThe Kyiv IndependentDmytro Basmat
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reports

    North Korea is considering sending up to 25,000 workers to Russia to assist in the mass production of Shahed-type attack drones, Japan’s public broadcaster NHK reported on June 19, citing unnamed diplomatic sources in the West and Russia.

    The workers would be sent to the Alabuga Special Economic Zone in Russia’s Republic of Tatarstan, where Moscow operates a facility for assembling Iranian-designed Shahed drones. In return, Pyongyang is reportedly seeking drone operation training.

    Shahed drones, known for their low cost and heavy explosive payloads, have been used extensively by Russia since late 2022 to attack Ukrainian cities. The Alabuga site has been repeatedly struck by Ukrainian forces in an attempt to disrupt production.

    The media report follows a series of rapid developments in military cooperation between Moscow and Pyongyang. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu visited North Korea on June 17, reportedly on a “special assignment” from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

    After meeting Kim, Shoigu said that Pyongyang had agreed to send 1,000 combat engineers and 5,000 military builders to Russia’s Kursk Oblast to assist in reconstruction.

    Ukraine controlled a part of Kursk Oblast following a cross-border offensive in August 2024. Russia regained much of the lost territory during a March 2025 counteroffensive that included backing from North Korean forces. According to estimates, North Korea has suffered over 6,000 casualties during the offensive operations.

    Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, said on June 9 that Pyongyang and Moscow have agreed to start establishing domestic production of Shahed-136 drones on North Korean soil.

    Kim remains a vocal ally of Putin, supplying not only soldiers but also artillery, drones, and ballistic missiles. During Russia’s May 9 Victory Day Parade in Moscow, Putin personally greeted North Korean troops, though Kim did not attend.

    Tired of military aid delays, Ukraine has designed its own ballistic missile — and it’s already in mass-production
    Ukraine announced on June 13 that its short-range Sapsan ballistic missile would go into mass production, a major development in Kyiv’s ongoing efforts to domestically produce the weapons it needs to fight Russia’s full-scale invasion. As Ukraine faces growing challenges in securing weapons from Western partners, and Russia continues launching
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in UkraineThe Kyiv IndependentYuliia Taradiuk
    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine

    ‘Unwanted by their homeland’ — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as Ukrainian

    Russia handed over some bodies of its own soldiers to Ukraine under the guise of Ukrainian casualties during a recent exchange of the deceased, Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko announced on June 19.

    “Yes, we have facts. We have established the names of these soldiers and officers who are unwanted by their homeland,” Klymenko wrote on Telegram.

    The discovery was made after the handover of remains under an agreement reached during the June 2 talks in Istanbul. In total, Ukraine received 6,057 bodies of its fallen soldiers as part of the phased exchange. Russia, according to Kremlin aide and negotiator Vladimir Medinsky, took back 78.

    One of the bodies returned to Ukraine, labeled No. 192/25, was dressed in a Russian military uniform and carried a Russian passport issued to Alexander Viktorovich Bugaev, born in 1974.

    Alongside the passport, officials found a military ID indicating Bugaev had served in the 1st Battalion of the 39th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade.

    Ukraine war latest: Russia accidentally admits to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine
    A photo of the passport belonging to a Russian soldier whose body was handed over to Ukraine during a military remains exchange, published on June 19, 2025. (Ihor Klymenko / Telegram)

    According to Klymenko, Bugaev went missing during heavy fighting near Novomykhailivka in Donetsk Oblast in March 2025. His family had been searching for him for months. Klymenko said Russia had located Bugaev’s body but chose to “dump” it among the Ukrainian dead.

    “This is yet another proof of how Russia treats its people with contempt, throwing their bodies onto the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers,” Klymenko said.

    “This shows how little human life means to Russia. Or maybe it’s just a way to avoid paying compensation to the families. But they will have to pay anyway: we are returning these bodies."

    The official has not mentioned the total number of Russian soldiers' bodies given to Ukraine.

    The June 2 negotiations in Istanbul resulted in the most expansive prisoner and body exchange agreement of the full-scale war, although no ceasefire was reached.

    Russia accused Kyiv on June 7 of rejecting a proposed body return, publishing footage allegedly showing Ukrainian corpses stored in refrigeration units. Ukraine dismissed the claims, saying the footage was filmed on Russian territory, not at a designated handover site.

    Kyiv has consistently called for an “all-for-all” exchange of prisoners of war, but Moscow has so far refused to agree to a comprehensive swap.


    Note from the author:

    Ukraine War Latest is put together by the Kyiv Independent news desk team, who keep you informed 24 hours a day, seven days a week. If you value our work and want to ensure we have the resources to continue, join the Kyiv Independent community.

  • There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is why

    There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is why

    As Israel and Iran continue to trade salvos, dramatic footage of air defenses battling ballistic missiles have flooded the internet.

    Several prominent online commentators have compared the videos coming out of Israel with those from Ukraine, questioning why Russian attacks like those on Kyiv are portrayed in relatively sparse detail, while those from cities like Tel Aviv show the full, terrifying spectacle of modern warfare.

    Ivan Kyrychevskyi, a military expert with the Defense Express think tank, told the Kyiv Independent that the accounts raising questions appear to be part of a disinformation campaign attempting to downplay Russia’s violence and the suffering of Ukrainian civilians.

    Some of the differences in footage is simply down to the types of weapons being used, Kyrychevskyi adds.

    "Shahed drones or even Russian missiles targeting Kyiv and other cities don’t always create the kind of dramatic visual effect people expect, like prominent trails in the sky," he said.

    But there’s far more to it than just smoke trails.

    What do videos from Israel and Ukraine show?

    The videos coming from Israel have been both horrifying and spectacular — some filmed live by international media teams have shown Israeli air defense systems launching interceptors at incoming Iranian ballistic missiles, all in HD quality.

    Live on Fox News as Tel Aviv comes under a massive ballistic missile attack. pic.twitter.com/TCltXbpVgw

    — Trey Yingst (@TreyYingst) June 13, 2025

    Countless other videos filmed by civilians also show Israeli air defenses in action close to their launch sites, particularly in Tel Aviv.

    Footage of an Iranian ballistic missile hitting downtown Tel Aviv this evening. pic.twitter.com/7UzzW0M52G

    — OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 13, 2025

    Footage of Russian attacks on Ukraine are very different — there are no international media teams filming from hotel balconies, and no footage of air defense systems launching interceptor missiles.

    There are plenty of videos of the attacks. After the most recent strike on Kyiv overnight on June 17, which killed 28 people, there was footage of drones slamming into residential buildings.

    🚨 A direct strike by a Russian-Iranian Shahed drone on an apartment building full of civilians in Kyiv. pic.twitter.com/8GYrh3X9ri

    — Ostap Yarysh (@OstapYarysh) June 17, 2025

    There are also plenty of videos of the devastating aftermath.

    Trump: Russia should be in the G8. I don’t want to impose sanctions.
    Putin: Yay. Let’s lob missiles into Kyiv residential buildings at night and murder lots of sleeping Ukrainians. pic.twitter.com/h77mFO8pl1

    — Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof) June 17, 2025

    But there is never anything similar to the types of videos that we have seen coming out of Israel recently, and for good reason.

    Filming Ukraine's air defenses

    In Ukraine, filming and publishing the work of air defense systems is strictly prohibited, as such information can help the Russian army to locate military positions.

    "When people record the work of air defense systems, the enemy can actually see the image of the same missile launch in real time, and determine the location of the launcher very accurately, and can strike back," Air Force spokesperson Yurii Ihnat told the Kyiv Independent.

    "Large air defense systems are priority targets for the enemy. So they are always trying to find out where our air defense is, what position it is in. And we have to constantly change our positions so that the enemy does not know where we are."

    On March 24, 2022, the Verkhovna Rada, Ukraine’s parliament, adopted legislative changes to introduce criminal liability for sharing the locations or movements of the Armed Forces, including air defense units.

    There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is why
    Patriot systems are seen at a military training area of Air Defence Missile Group 21 in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Germany, on May 29, 2024. (Bernd Wüstneck / Picture Alliance via Getty Images)

    Breaking the law can be punished by up to 12 years in prison. Ukraine's military and security services can film and publish videos but always remove or blur anything that could be used to locate air defenses.

    "We (Air Force) often show air defense work. We ask the soldiers themselves, if possible, to film it for us. But we always edit out the harmful parts," Ihnat said.

    Israel does not have such a law.

    Why is it legal in Israel, and illegal in Ukraine?

    This essentially boils down to the fact that Israel has one of the most sophisticated networks of air defense on the planet and has less to fear from Iran locating its systems than Ukraine does of Russia.

    Ukraine is one of the largest countries in Europe, with a vast territory of 603,628 square kilometers, making it difficult to cover entirely with air defense systems. In contrast, Israel's much smaller size, around 22,000 square kilometers, allows for denser and more efficient deployment of air defenses like the Iron Dome.

    "Israel's air defense system has mostly been developed in Israel and is a tightly integrated capability consisting of radars, control centers, and interceptor batteries," Iain Boyd, the director of the Center for National Security Initiatives at the University of Colorado, told the Kyiv Independent.

    Ukraine's situation is very different — it currently operates an ad-hoc mix of Soviet-era and Western-supplied air defense systems. These include legacy systems such as the S-300, Buk-M1, and Osa, as well as modern Western systems like Patriot, NASAMS, IRIS-T.

    There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is why
    Israeli air defense systems are activated to intercept Iranian missiles over Tel Aviv, Israel, on June 18, 2025. (Menahem Kahana / AFP via Getty Images)

    The Patriot air defense systems — the only system effective against ballistic missiles — in particular have proved to be a game-changer for Ukraine, whose Air Force previously had to rely on outdated Soviet-era versions to shoot down aerial targets.

    Ukraine currently has only eight Patriot systems, two of which are currently not in service, according to the New York Times.

    Because the equipment — including the ammunition — are limited in number, each is extremely precious for the defense of Ukrainian cities and as such their locations are shrouded in secrecy.

    "There are two main reasons for the categorical ban on filming the work of air defense in Ukraine," retired military officer and defense expert Viktor Kevliuk told the Kyiv Independent.

    "To prevent the intentional or unintentional exposure of an air defense position that our enemy is hunting, and to hide the results of strikes from the enemy."

    With so much at stake, Ukraine's civilians abide by the rules, with only a handful of cases of people being prosecuted for breaking them.

    A video on YouTube highlighted by Ihnat captures the attitude toward those who do film Ukraine's air defenses.

    The lyrics to the song? "Who's filming air defense? F**kwits, f**wits."

    Russia just accidentally admitted to its staggering troop losses in Ukraine
    A senior Russian official on June 19 inadvertently confirmed the staggering troop losses incurred by Moscow’s forces during its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In an interview with CNN, Russian Ambassador to the U.K. Andrey Kelin was asked about Moscow’s maximalist intentions in Ukraine and its ability to recruit enough
    There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is whyThe Kyiv IndependentChris York
    There's loads of video of Israeli air defenses, and none of Ukraine's — this is why
  • Ukraine documents 366 cases of war-related sexual violence, most victims women

    Ukraine documents 366 cases of war-related sexual violence, most victims women

    As of June 2025, Ukraine has documented 366 cases of sexual violence committed in connection with Russia’s full-scale war, the Foreign Ministry reported on June 19, citing data from the Prosecutor General’s Office.

    The statement was published on the International Day for the Elimination of Sexual Violence in Conflict, marked every year on June 19.

    The victims include 231 women, 134 men, and 19 children. The documented crimes span rape, sexual torture, forced nudity, and other violent acts, many of which occurred in occupied territories or during the early stages of Russia’s invasion.

    Sexual violence in conflict is prohibited under the 1949 Geneva Conventions and their additional protocols, which mandate the protection of civilians, especially women and children. It is also recognized as a war crime under international law.

    Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry said Russia is “grossly violating international humanitarian law” and the legal framework established by multiple U.N. Security Council resolutions.

    The ministry said that Moscow has employed sexual violence “as a weapon of war” to terrorize civilians, destroy communities, and weaken resistance.

    Ukraine’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Sergiy Kyslytsya, raised the issue at the Security Council in April 2024, warning that such violence is being used against both civilians and prisoners of war.

    In June 2024, the Kyiv Independent identified two Russian soldiers implicated in the rape of women during Russia’s occupation of parts of Kyiv and Kherson oblasts in March 2022.

    One of them, Mykola Senenko, was formally charged by Ukraine’s Prosecutor General’s Office for a rape committed in Kherson Oblast.

    Trump’s peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech. When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle
    Ukraine documents 366 cases of war-related sexual violence, most victims womenThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    Ukraine documents 366 cases of war-related sexual violence, most victims women

  • Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chief

    Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chief

    President Volodymyr Zelensky on June 19 appointed Brigadier General Hennadii Shapovalov as the new commander of Ukraine’s Ground Forces, following the resignation of Mykhailo Drapatyi earlier this month.

    Drapatyi stepped down on June 1 after a Russian missile strike killed at least 12 Ukrainian soldiers at a training ground in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. He described the casualties as young recruits who “should have learned, lived, and fought — not died.”

    Zelensky accepted Drapatyi’s resignation and appointed him Commander of the Joint Forces on June 3. An investigation into the incident is ongoing, with the Ground Forces promising accountability if misconduct or negligence is confirmed.

    Shapovalov, born in 1978 in Kirovohrad Oblast, is a career officer who graduated from the Military Institute of Tank Troops in Kharkiv and later studied at the National Defense University of Ukraine. He also received training at the U.S. Army War College.

    Shapovalov previously led Ukraine’s South Operational Command in 2024 and was appointed in February 2025 as Ukraine’s representative to the NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU) mission in Germany.

    Drapatyi, in his final remarks as Ground Forces chief on June 11, said he had overhauled more than half of the command’s senior leadership, launched a revamp of recruitment centers, and pushed through reforms focused on decentralization, accountability, and modernization.

    Zelensky said Drapatyi’s new role would allow him to focus “exclusively on combat issues” as Ukraine faces intensifying Russian attacks across several fronts.

    Trump’s peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech. When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle
    Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chiefThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    Zelensky appoints Brigadier General Shapovalov as new Ground Forces chief

  • Fact Check: Donald Trump Did NOT Threaten to 'Drop Chris Christie' on Iran

    Did President Donald Trump threaten, in a TruthSocial post, to "drop Chris Christie" on Iran, in June 2025? No, that's not true: A widely-shared screenshot which appeared to show such a message was, in fact, fake. A search of the president's TruthSocial account yielded no record of his having written those words.

    The fake post appeared in a June 18, 2025, post on X (archived here) which garnered more than four million views in one day. The text of the fake post read:

    IF IRAN DOESN'T SURRENDER IN THE
    NEXT 24 HOURS I'M GOING TO DROP
    CHRIS CHRISTIE ON THEM. THANK YOU!

    This is what it looked like at the time of writing:

    Screenshot 2025-06-19 at 1.45.26 PM.png

    (Source: X screenshot)

    The Trump post was fake.

    A June 19 scan of his TruthSocial account showed no posts matching the one shown in the screenshot. Furthermore, searches on Google and Bing for the phrase "drop Chris Christie", limited to links containing "truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump" (using the "site:" search operator) returned no results either. This indicates that Google and Bing didn't recently index such a post.

    If Trump had made such a threat, it would undoubtedly have formed the basis of immediate and widespread news coverage. Google News and Yahoo! News searches both yielded no relevant results for the phrases "Trump" and "drop Chris Christie", further underlining the fabricated nature of the post.

  • 'Unwanted by their homeland' — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as Ukrainian

    'Unwanted by their homeland' — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as Ukrainian

    Russia handed over some bodies of its own soldiers to Ukraine under the guise of Ukrainian casualties during a recent exchange of the deceased, Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko announced on June 19.

    “Yes, we have facts. We have established the names of these soldiers and officers who are unwanted by their homeland,” Klymenko wrote on Telegram.

    The discovery was made after the handover of remains under an agreement reached during the June 2 talks in Istanbul. In total, Ukraine received 6,057 bodies of its fallen soldiers as part of the phased exchange. Russia, according to Kremlin aide and negotiator Vladimir Medinsky, took back 78.

    One of the bodies returned to Ukraine, labeled No. 192/25, was dressed in a Russian military uniform and carried a Russian passport issued to Alexander Viktorovich Bugaev, born in 1974.

    Alongside the passport, officials found a military ID indicating Bugaev had served in the 1st Battalion of the 39th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade.

    According to Klymenko, Bugaev went missing during heavy fighting near Novomykhailivka in Donetsk Oblast in March 2025. His family had been searching for him for months. Klymenko said Russia had located Bugaev’s body but chose to “dump” it among the Ukrainian dead.

    “This is yet another proof of how Russia treats its people with contempt, throwing their bodies onto the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers,” Klymenko said.

    “This shows how little human life means to Russia. Or maybe it’s just a way to avoid paying compensation to the families. But they will have to pay anyway: we are returning these bodies."

    The official has not mentioned the total number of Russian soldiers' bodies given to Ukraine.

    The June 2 negotiations in Istanbul resulted in the most expansive prisoner and body exchange agreement of the full-scale war, although no ceasefire was reached.

    Russia accused Kyiv on June 7 of rejecting a proposed body return, publishing footage allegedly showing Ukrainian corpses stored in refrigeration units. Ukraine dismissed the claims, saying the footage was filmed on Russian territory, not at a designated handover site.

    Kyiv has consistently called for an “all-for-all” exchange of prisoners of war, but Moscow has so far refused to agree to a comprehensive swap.

    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal
    “These are warriors of the Armed Forces, the National Guard, and the State Border Guard Service. Most of them had been held captive since 2022,” President Volodymyr Zelensky said, without revealing their numbers.
    'Unwanted by their homeland' — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as UkrainianThe Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    'Unwanted by their homeland' — Ukraine confirms Russia returned bodies of its soldiers disguised as Ukrainian

  • Fact Check: OLD Video Shows Flight Attendant Singing With 'Israeli Nationals' -- Clip is From 2023

    Did a viral video show passengers singing with a flight attendant waving an Israeli flag, in June 2025? No, that's not true: Posts on social media reused an old recording. The footage had been on the internet since October 2023.

    The claim appeared in a post (archived here) on X on June 19, 2025. It read:

    Israel carries out a daring rescue, sending special planes to extricate Israeli nationals trapped in their European vacation spots and wing them home to a war zone.
    This is what the post looked like on X at the time of writing:
    Screenshot 2025-06-19 at 9.13.35 AM.png
    (Source: X screenshot by Lead Stories)

    The entry included a one-minute video showing a flight crew member holding an Israeli flag and dancing and singing in the aisle between the seat rows on the plane. Passengers appear to recognize the lyrics and sang along, and many were recording the scene on their phones.

    Contrary to the implication in the post on X, the recording didn't document anything that happened in 2025. By June 2025, the video had been online for roughly a year and a half.

    As of this writing, the earliest available copy of the footage (archived here) found by Lead Stories was uploaded to TikTok on October 24, 2025.

    Another video of what appeared to be the continuaton of the same scene (archived here) appeared on Facebook even earlier, on October 14, 2023. It was published by Aviad Shotts, whose profile described him as a flight attendant for Arkia Israeli Airlines.

    Read more

    Other Lead Stories fact checks concerning claims about Israel are here.

    Articles about international stories are here.

  • Fact Check: Paul McCartney Did NOT Give Private Jet To World War Two Vet To Reunite With Wartime Lover

    Did Paul McCartney give his private jet to a WW2 vet to help the 102-year-old American reunite with his wartime lover? No, that's not true: The text and supporting images in a story making the claim were generated by artificial intelligence tools. There is no documentation that the former Beatle lent his plane to an elderly veteran for a flight to find a European woman he met while serving in World War Two.

    The story originated in a post (archived here) published on Facebook and in an online article (archived here) on June 13, 2025. The caption to the Facebook post read:

    Paul McCartney gave up his private jet for a 102-year-old WWII vet to reunite with a wartime lover -- but what happened after became Paul's own birthday gift... Mr. Harold, a 102-year-old veteran, wanted to fly to France to meet his long-lost wartime love. Paul gave up his jet. A week later, Harold FaceTimed from Paris, inviting Paul to his 103rd birthday -- with a gift: a WWII map signed by Paul's own grandfather.
    FULL STORY BELOW 👇👇👇

    This is what the post looked like on Facebook at the time of writing:

    Facebook screenshot

    (Source: Facebook screenshot taken on Thu Jun 19 14:54:34 2025 UTC)

    The comment section of the post included a link to an article titled "Paul McCartney's Heartwarming Gesture to Help WWII Veteran Reunite with His Wartime Love." The opening paragraphs read:

    In a story that beautifully blends compassion and generosity, legendary musician Paul McCartney recently gave up his private jet to help a 102-year-old World War II veteran, Mr. Harold, reunite with his long-lost wartime love in France. What followed this selfless act, however, would turn into an unexpected and deeply emotional birthday gift for Paul McCartney himself.

    Mr. Harold, a 102-year-old veteran, had spent decades apart from his wartime sweetheart, a woman he met during his time in service. As years passed, the two lost contact, and Harold was left with nothing but cherished memories of their brief, yet profound, connection. But, at the age of 102, Harold had one last wish -- to find his beloved and see her once again. His dream was to fly to France, where she lived, and finally reunite with her after all these years.

    When Paul McCartney, who is known for his deep humanitarian spirit, heard about Harold's wish, he didn't hesitate to take action. Realizing that Harold's advanced age and the emotional significance of his mission, Paul knew the reunion had to happen. Paul generously offered his private jet, giving up his own comfort and convenience to ensure Harold's dream could come true. A true gesture of kindness, McCartney's actions went beyond celebrity charity -- it was a deeply personal act of compassion, one that showed the power of human connection.

    After traveling to France, Harold succeeded in his mission. A week later, the veteran made an emotional FaceTime call from Paris, where he had been joyfully reunited with his wartime love. It was a moment of triumph and nostalgia, filled with smiles and tears. However, what happened next was just as unexpected as the first gesture of generosity.

    The article provides no sources for this information, which would be expected in legitimate journalism.

    Lead Stories tested the full text with the GPTZero AI Detection tool, which concluded with high confidence that the text was 95% AI-generated.

    Screenshot 2025-06-19 074530.png

    Lead Stories found obvious clues that the images of McCartney and the veteran used for the Facebook post and in the article were obviously AI-generated. The hat worn by the veteran differed in each image, although the photos were supposedly of the same event.

    Screenshot 2025-06-19 095126.pngScreenshot 2025-06-19 095148.pngScreenshot 2025-06-19 095206.png

    The number of candles that were lit varies, which is another clue.

    The Hive Moderation AI-generated content detection tool left no doubt that all of the images were 99.9% deepfakes.

    Screenshot 2025-06-19 095024.pngScreenshot 2025-06-19 095047.pngScreenshot 2025-06-19 094945.png

    Fake claims about McCartney and the Beatles are common on Facebook. Lead Stories previously debunked another AI-generated claim that McCartney and Ringo Starr had announced a joint tour.

  • Russia's prison chief sentenced in absentia for torture chambers in Kherson Oblast

    Russia's prison chief sentenced in absentia for torture chambers in Kherson Oblast

    Arkady Gostev, head of Russia’s Federal Penitentiary Service, was sentenced in absentia to 10 years in prison for creating a network of torture chambers in the Russian-occupied part of Kherson Oblast, Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) announced on June 19.

    Gostev was found guilty of orchestrating the transformation of captured Ukrainian prisons into torture sites used to detain and brutalize members of the local resistance. The SBU said victims were subjected to “brutal torture” intended to break their will and force submission to the Kremlin rule.

    According to investigators, Gostev personally oversaw the establishment of torture facilities and pushed for their inclusion in Russia’s national prison registry through the Justice Ministry.

    The court ruled he committed “actions aimed at violently changing or overthrowing the constitutional order or seizing state power."

    “Comprehensive measures are being taken to bring him to justice for crimes against our state,” the SBU said, noting that Gostev remains in Russia.

    Kherson Oblast, which stretches from the Dnipro River to the Black Sea, remains partially occupied, with the east-bank territories still under Russian control.

    Gostev joins a growing list of senior Russian officials charged in absentia with war crimes, crimes against humanity, and the administration of occupied territories.

    Ukraine has also targeted collaborators working with the occupation authorities.

    On June 18, Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) confirmed the assassination of Mykhailo Hrytsai, a Russian-appointed deputy mayor in Berdiansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, for his role in organizing repression and torture of Ukrainian prisoners of war.

    ‘Beyond cynical’ – Russian doctor carved ‘Glory to Russia’ scar on POW during operation, Ukraine says
    After more than three years of Russia’s full-scale invasion, each new revelation of cruel treatment of Ukrainians in Russian captivity hardly surprises anyone. But when a photo recently emerged online, showing a “Glory to Russia” scar on the body of a Ukrainian prisoner of war (POW), it sent shockwaves
    Russia's prison chief sentenced in absentia for torture chambers in Kherson OblastThe Kyiv IndependentDaria Shulzhenko
    Russia's prison chief sentenced in absentia for torture chambers in Kherson Oblast

  • Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge

    Fourth year into Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, the decisive support Kyiv found among its neighbors to the west is beginning to show cracks.

    Once resolute Poland is seeing rising skepticism toward Ukraine, underscored by President-elect Karol Nawrocki’s election victory. Slovakia’s pro-Ukrainian government was ousted by Russian-friendly populists in the 2023 parliament elections, and Czechia may face a similar fate this year.

    Pro-Western political forces have barely survived a pro-Russian takeover in Romania and Moldova, but the anti-Ukrainian parties remain powerful in both countries.

    In contrast, the only actively pro-Russian government that has been in place since the start of the full-scale war, might soon lose an election of its own. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who has exasperated Ukraine and Brussels with his obstinately pro-Kremlin stances, faces a realistic possibility of defeat next year.

    Ukraine still has allies in the neighborhood. But when compared to 2022, the trend is clear — A steady erosion of solidarity among Ukraine’s partners in Central and Eastern Europe amid war fatigue, domestic concerns, and rising populism.

    Poland — from champion to cautious ally

    Unlike in many other countries, in Poland, a division between pro-Ukrainian and Ukraine-skeptic political forces cannot be neatly defined by party lines.

    Case in point, President-elect Nawrocki is less sympathetic to Ukraine than his predecessor, Andrzej Duda, even though they both come from the same conservative camp centered around the Law and Justice (PiS) party.

    The incoming Polish president is also taking a harder line on Ukraine than the centrist government led by Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Coalition. While the Tusk government has openly backed Kyiv’s NATO and EU aspirations, Nawrocki spoke out against both.

    The historian-turned-president-elect has often employed historical grievances — namely, the World War II-era Volyn massacres — in his criticism, while denouncing Ukraine as “ungrateful” for Polish aid.

    However, the vast majority of the Polish political spectrum, including the PiS, the current government, and Nawrocki, agrees that it is in Warsaw’s interest to continue supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Law and Justice party–backed then-presidential candidate, now President-elect Karol Nawrocki, attends the election night event in Warsaw, Poland, on June 1, 2025. (Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

    After all, it was the previous PiS government that helped millions of Ukrainian refugees fleeing the country at the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, that sent tanks and MiG-29 fighter jets, and that turned eastern Poland into a key military aid hub for Ukraine.

    The ties became strained later amid trade disputes, border blockades, and clashes over historical grievances, and did not disappear with the defeat of the PiS and Tusk’s victory in the 2023 elections.

    Yet, Poland stands out — its fluctuating relationship with Ukraine doesn’t change the fact that in the country’s war with Russia, it is strongly on Kyiv’s side.

    Ukraine is unlikely to lose Poland as its supporter, though Warsaw may not be the leading advocate for Ukrainian European and Euro-Atlantic aspirations it once was.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    (Nizar al-Rifai/The Kyiv Independent)

    Can Hungary shift course?

    As the region is sliding deeper into nationalist populism, Hungary may yet move in the opposite direction.

    Peter Magyar, a renegade from Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s Fidesz party, is taking Hungarian politics by storm. His Tisza party now leads polls, suggesting that Magyar has a good chance at dethroning Orban during the upcoming April 2026 parliamentary elections.

    Orban has been in power in Hungary since 2010, with his tenure marked by clashes with the EU over human rights and the rule of law, warming relations with Russian and Chinese autocrats, and obstruction of military and political support for Kyiv.

    Whether Magyar’s victory next year could bring change remains to be seen. The rising opposition leader visited Kyiv after a Russian attack on the Okhmatdyt hospital last July, but otherwise avoided making any clear commitments to Ukraine. And he has reasons to.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Peter Magyar holds a Hungarian flag during a protest in Budapest, Hungary, on March 15, 2025. (Janos Kummer/Getty Images)

    “In order to win the elections, (Tisza) needs to win over voters from Fidesz, and, after 15 years of indoctrination, this will not be possible if Tisza takes a broadly pro-Ukrainian stance,” Csilla Fedinec, senior research fellow at HUN-REN Center for Social Sciences in Budapest, told the Kyiv Independent.

    “In Hungary, the elections are free but definitely not fair.”

    Dorka Takacsy, a research fellow at the Center for Euro-Atlantic Integration and Democracy (CEID) and visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund, nevertheless says that Magyar might decide to support Ukraine to position himself as Orban's "polar opposite."

    Magyar's victory is far from certain, however.

    "There are insane disparities with regards not only in access to the media, but also finance-wise" between the "state party" Fidesz and the Tisza newcomers, Takacsy said, adding that "in Hungary, the elections are free but definitely not fair."

    Romania remains on Ukraine's side, but pro-Russian challenge grows

    Looking from Ukraine's perspective, Romania has avoided becoming "another Hungary" by the skin of its teeth, as numerous polls projected that anti-Ukraine and hard-right George Simion could win the presidential office this May.

    Simion had strong chances, taking over the "sovereignist" banner from pro-Russian ultranationalist Calin Georgescu, who came in first in the annulled election last November but was barred from running again.

    A far-right victory would have been a major upheaval for the key NATO member that was pivotal in helping Ukraine ship out its grain amid Black Sea blockades and provided a full Patriot air defense system.

    Bucharest "will have a stable pro-EU, pro-NATO, and pro-Ukrainian force until the next parliamentary elections."

    Bucharest Mayor Nicusor Dan, a pro-EU centrist, defied expectations when he defeated Simion by a solid margin. This ensured "that Romania will stay on the pro-Western track," Sergiu Miscoiu, a political science professor at the Babes-Bolyai University in Cluj-Napoca, told the Kyiv Independent.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Then-presidential candidate, now Romanian President Nicusor Dan and his partner Mirabela Gradinaru greet supporters after the first exit poll results on the day of the presidential election in Bucharest, Romania, on May 19, 2025. (Andrei Pungovschi/Getty Images)

    Romania's political woes are far from over, as Dan must now help broker a new government among pro-EU parties. Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu's pro-Ukrainian cabinet resigned after its candidate failed to advance past the first round of the presidential election.

    If these negotiations are successful, "which is highly probable," Bucharest "will have a stable pro-EU, pro-NATO, and pro-Ukrainian force until the next parliamentary elections," Miscoiu added.

    The specter of the massive right-wing, anti-establishment surge among Romanians persists, however.

    Simion's party, the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), went from 9% support in 2020 to 18% during last year's parliamentary vote, becoming the leading opposition force and the second-biggest party in the parliament. Its support only continues to surge, now hitting 38% in some surveys.

    Such broad backing for a party whose leader has been banned entry to Ukraine due to what the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) called "systematic anti-Ukrainian activities" and who openly opposed military aid for Ukraine should be a worrying signal for Kyiv.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    (Nizar al-Rifai/The Kyiv Independent)

    Moldova's pro-EU path faces second challenge

    Just like in Romania, Moldova's pro-EU and pro-Ukrainian leadership has evaded defeat by Moscow-friendly opposition — but their fight is not over.

    Moldova's small population, modest military, and limited economic capacity restrict its ability to play a major military role in the pro-Kyiv coalition. In spite of this, Chisinau has stood by Ukraine since the onset of Russia's full-scale invasion and has become its partner on the path toward EU accession.

    Pro-European President Maia Sandu won reelection in November 2024 by defeating Alexandr Stoianoglo, a former prosecutor endorsed by pro-Russian ex-President Igor Dodon.

    However, the simultaneous non-binding referendum on Moldova's EU aspirations showed only a razor-thin margin in support of the accession. Sandu cried foul, accusing Russia of an "unprecedented" interference in its favor.

    Now, pro-Russian forces within the country are gearing up for another attempt to grab power, this time during the September parliamentary elections — a vote with potentially major ramifications in the semi-parliamentary republic.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Moldovan President Maia Sandu is pictured in Chisinau, Moldova, on April 2, 2025. (Kira Hofmann/Photothek for the German Federal Foreign Office via Getty Images)

    Sandu's party, the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), currently holds the majority, but faces a challenge from Dodon's Bloc of Communists and Socialists (BCS) and the Alternative, a political bloc co-founded by Stoianoglo.

    "If Sandu's party loses majority in the parliament, Maia Sandu will be forced to cohabit with a parliament that is more powerful in terms" of approving the prime minister and the government, Miscoiu said.

    In such a situation, Chisinau would not turn openly pro-Russian, the expert says. However, it would shift toward a "neutral" status that would allow the activation of various pro-Russian elements, some of which are currently banned in Moldova, and compromise the country's EU hopes, he added.

    Slovakia's U-turn under Fico, and what comes next

    Few European countries have seen such a radical foreign policy shift in recent years as Slovakia after the electoral victory of the populist, left-nationalist Robert Fico in the fall of 2023.

    The nation that was one of the first to provide Ukraine with fighter jets — not to mention an S-300 air defense system, artillery, and more — now ranks alongside Orban's Hungary as the most Moscow-friendly government in the EU and NATO.

    Fico's role as a disruptor has largely been about theatrics, from his meeting with Putin in Moscow last year to his appearance on Russian propagandist Olga Skabeyeva's channel and his presence at the Moscow Victory Day parades on May 9 — an event even Orban avoided.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico (R) and President of Republika Srpska Milorad Dodik (L) arrive for a wreath-laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Moscow, Russia, on May 9, 2025. (Contributor/Getty Images)

    The Slovak leader has also clashed with Ukraine over the transit of Russian gas, halted military aid from (largely emptied out) Slovak military arsenals, and threatened to block the upcoming package of EU sanctions.

    However, mass protests against Bratislava's pro-Moscow orientation and the dropping public support for coalition parties show that Fico's hold on power is far from secure.

    Fico's foreign policy turn has also sparked criticism within the coalition. Slovak President Peter Pellegrini, Fico's ally and founder of the co-ruling Hlas party, has rebuked the government for moving away from its Western partners and announced his visit to Kyiv.

    Should Fico's grip on power continue to weaken, Slovakia's geopolitical course could change yet again.

    Czechia slipping away from Ukraine

    While not directly sharing borders with Ukraine, Czechia — lying less than 300 kilometers from the warring country — has been a significant player in both military and humanitarian assistance for Kyiv.

    Since 2022, Czechia has provided shelter to some 400,000 Ukrainian refugees. Prague was also behind the international ammunition initiative, which provided Ukraine with 1.5 million high-caliber rounds in 2024 and an additional 400,000 as of the spring of 2025.

    But the parties that oversaw these policies seem to have a slim chance of retaining the parliamentary majority in the upcoming October elections.

    The populist ANO movement of billionaire and ex-Prime Minister Andrej Babis is leading Spolu — the center-right coalition that is the main force in the government — by some 10 percentage points, meaning Babis is very likely to return to power by the end of this year.

    Once firm, support for Ukraine among its neighbors wavers amid a populist surge
    President Volodymyr Zelensky (R) meets with Czech President Petr Pavel (L) in Kyiv, Ukraine, on March 21, 2025. (The President’s Office)

    In the runup to the vote, Babis has increasingly lambasted the government's support for Ukrainian refugees, arguing that it comes at the expense of Czech families. Babis's right-hand man, Karel Havlicek, even declared earlier this year that ANO would kill the ammunition initiative for Ukraine, though the party later muted this statement.

    While ANO has largely tried to avoid the topic of Ukraine as a major topic, this now seems to change as Babis is fishing "in the anti-systemic waters," likely to counter the rise of the more radical and anti-Ukrainian SPD party, Pavel Havlicek (no relation), a research fellow at the Association for International Affairs in Prague, told the Kyiv Independent.

    Paradoxically, the far-right SPD and the communist-led Stacilo! (Enough!) bloc appear to be ANO's most likely coalition partners. These radical groups "come with a very clear agenda undermining the course of Czech foreign policy," Havlicek said.

    "At the same time, ANO has a weaker and less articulated position on most matters, which might further empower the smaller political actor(s) to take matters into their own hands, including taking over the Czech Foreign Ministry," he adds.

    No matter the result of the parliamentary elections, Ukraine will continue to have a vocal advocate in President Petr Pavel – though presidential powers in Czechia are limited.

    By mid-2025, support for Ukraine is showing signs of strain in Central and Eastern Europe. Yet, pro-Ukrainian forces have managed to score some surprising wins, showing that victory against the rising wave of pro-Russian populism is possible.

  • North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reports

    North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reports

    North Korea is considering sending up to 25,000 workers to Russia to assist in the mass production of Shahed-type attack drones, Japan’s public broadcaster NHK reported on June 19, citing unnamed diplomatic sources in the West and Russia.

    The workers would be sent to the Alabuga Special Economic Zone in Russia’s Republic of Tatarstan, where Moscow operates a facility for assembling Iranian-designed Shahed drones. In return, Pyongyang is reportedly seeking drone operation training.

    Shahed drones, known for their low cost and heavy explosive payloads, have been used extensively by Russia since late 2022 to attack Ukrainian cities. The Alabuga site has been repeatedly struck by Ukrainian forces in an attempt to disrupt production.

    The media report follows a series of rapid developments in military cooperation between Moscow and Pyongyang. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu visited North Korea on June 17, reportedly on a “special assignment” from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

    After meeting Kim, Shoigu said that Pyongyang had agreed to send 1,000 combat engineers and 5,000 military builders to Russia’s Kursk Oblast to assist in reconstruction.

    Ukraine controlled a part of Kursk Oblast following a cross-border offensive in August 2024. Russia regained much of the lost territory during a March 2025 counteroffensive that included backing from North Korean forces. According to estimates, North Korea has suffered over 6,000 casualties during the offensive operations.

    Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, said on June 9 that Pyongyang and Moscow have agreed to start establishing domestic production of Shahed-136 drones on North Korean soil.

    Kim remains a vocal ally of Putin, supplying not only soldiers but also artillery, drones, and ballistic missiles. During Russia’s May 9 Victory Day Parade in Moscow, Putin personally greeted North Korean troops, though Kim did not attend.

    Trump’s peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech. When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle
    North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reportsThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    North Korea considers sending 25,000 workers to Russia to help produce Shahed drones, media reports

  • Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30

    Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30

    Editor’s note: This is issue 30 of Ukrainian lawmaker Yaroslav Zhelezniak’s weekly “Ukraine Reforms Tracker” covering events from June 9–June 15, 2025. The digest highlights steps taken in the Ukrainian parliament related to business, economics, and international financial programs.

    The Kyiv Independent is republishing with permission.

    Benchmarks and soft commitments with the IMF


    Candidate implicated in corruption case shortlisted to lead Ukraine’s gas grid operator

    Oksana Kryvenko, director of regulation at GTSOU and a former head of Ukraine’s energy regulator, became one of seven finalists in the selection process for CEO of the Gas Transmission System Operator of Ukraine (GTSOU).

    In 2024 she was appointed as advisor to the current Energy Minister Herman Halushchenko.

    She is also a defendant in the Rotterdam+ case, a high-profile investigation by NABU currently under trial.

    Obligations to the EU

    Ukraine falls short on reform targets, risks 1.5 billion euros short in EU support

    Ukraine has completed only three of 11 reform benchmarks due by the end of Q2, according to monitoring report of RRR4U, a consortium of Ukrainian top think tanks. Three missed structural milestones from Q1 — reform of ARMA, expanding the High Anti-Corruption Court’s staff, and restructuring territorial executive governance — could cost the country up to 1.5 billion euros in EU funding under the Ukraine Facility program.

    Ukraine Parliament to consider EU-linked bіills, including ARMA reform

    Ukraine’s parliament Verkhovna Rada is set to review a series of legislative initiatives this week tied to the country’s commitments under the Ukraine Facility program.

    On June 18, lawmakers are expected to vote in final reading draft law #12374-d, which aims to restart Ukraine’s Asset Recovery and Management Agency (ARMA). The president’s alternative proposal, draft law #13268, is also on the agenda.

    There are also several other bills on the agenda, including:

    • draft law #12377 on the fundamentals of housing policy;
    • presidential draft law #13302 on establishing a Specialized Administrative Court and an Appellate Administrative Court;
    • draft law #9363 on the digitalization of enforcement proceedings;
    • draft law #13202-1 aligning Ukraine’s agricultural support mechanisms with EU standards.
    Ukraine’s parliament passes state asset agency reform crucial for EU funding
    The legislation passed with the support of 253 lawmakers “after months of obstructions… unblocking 600 million euros ($690 million) in EU funds,” lawmaker Yaroslav Zhelezniak said.
    Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30The Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30

    Ukraine appoints youngest Prosecutor General in country’s history

    Ukraine’s Parliament on June 17 appointed Ruslan Kravchenko as prosecutor general, ending a seven-month vacancy. Kravchenko, 35, most recently headed the State Tax Service and previously served as governor of Kyiv Oblast. His appointment makes him the youngest prosecutor general in Ukraine’s history, having just reached the minimum age threshold for the role in March.

    Ukraine expects Cabinet shake-up, with Svyrydenko tipped as new prime minister

    The Presidential Office plans to replace Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, with a decision reportedly finalized over the weekend, according to several sources of Yaroslav Zhelezniak. First Deputy Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko is expected to be nominated as his successor. Svyrydenko seems to be the only candidate under consideration.

    Before proceeding, parliament is likely to amend Article 10 of the Law on Martial Law, which currently prohibits dismissing the Cabinet during wartime. Once passed, Shmyhal is expected to resign voluntarily, clearing the way for the formation of a new government.

    Ukraine’s parliament passes bill allowing multiple citizenship
    Ukraine’s parliament on June 18 supported a bill allowing Ukrainian citizens to hold passports of foreign countries, lawmaker Yaroslav Zhelezniak said.
    Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30The Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 30

  • Spain rejects NATO 5% defense spending push, calls proposal 'unreasonable'

    Spain rejects NATO 5% defense spending push, calls proposal 'unreasonable'

    Spain has rejected a U.S.-backed proposal for NATO members to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP, becoming the first alliance country to oppose the plan, Reuters reported on June 19.

    The rejection adds pressure to the transatlantic debate ahead of the NATO summit in The Hague on June 24–25, which has beenreduced to a single session focused on defense spending and alliance capabilities.  

    In a letter to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez called the proposed target “unreasonable” and warned it would undermine broader European efforts to build an integrated defense ecosystem.

    “Committing to a 5% target would not only be unreasonable, but also counterproductive,” Sanchez wrote, arguing it would “move Spain further away from optimal spending."

    Spain estimates that its armed forces require spending equal to 2.1% of GDP to meet national military objectives, below the U.S.-endorsed threshold but above NATO’s 2% benchmark.

    U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly accused NATO members of underfunding their militaries, pushing for raising defense spending benchmark to 5% of GDP.

    While no other NATO members have formally rejected the proposal, most have remained noncommittal. Poland, the Netherlands, and Sweden have expressed willingness to consider the 5% target.

    In 2024, only 23 alliance members met the 2% target, according to NATO estimates. Poland was ahead of all members with 4.12% of GDP allocated to defense, followed by Estonia (3.43%) and the U.S. (3.38%).

    Rutte said on June 17 that all NATO countries are on track to meet the 2% threshold in 2025.

    Spain, governed by a Socialist-led coalition, maintains a sharply different defense posture than the U.S. administration.

    While Madrid supports Ukraine, it has taken a more cautious stance on the Middle East, including distancing itself from U.S. policy on Israel.

    Diplomacy in crisis: G7 letdowns reveal limits to Western solidarity on Ukraine
    KANANASKIS, Canada — The Group of Seven (G7) Leaders’ Summit ended on June 17 with no joint statement in support of Ukraine, no commitments to provide desperately needed U.S. weapons, and no meeting between President Volodymyr Zelensky and U.S. President Donald Trump. The Ukrainian delegation headed into the summit,
    Spain rejects NATO 5% defense spending push, calls proposal 'unreasonable'The Kyiv IndependentDmytro Basmat
    Spain rejects NATO 5% defense spending push, calls proposal 'unreasonable'

  • Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons

    U.S. President Donald Trump addressed a wide range of subjects during his inauguration speech.

    When speaking about international relations, he was adamant — “Our power will stop all wars and bring a new spirit of unity,” he said, talking about Russia’s war against Ukraine and the fighting in the Middle East.

    Five months into Trump’s presidency, the wars intensify rather than end.

    Israel launched a war against Iran on June 13. The war between Israel and Hamas, a terrorist organization running the Gaza Strip, continues, and Russia is stepping up its war against Ukraine.

    Trump’s failure to bring peace is a result of his chaotic, incoherent and incompetent approach, analysts say.

    Instead of being a genuine intermediary, Trump has pressured Ukraine rather than Russia and actively supported Israel in the multiple wars in the Middle East. And while Trump seems to have chosen a side in each conflict, he has shown a lack of strategy and long-term planning to end each of the wars he follows.

    Jenny Mathers, a lecturer in international politics at the U.K.’s Aberystwyth University, told the Kyiv Independent that Trump’s “team lacks expertise and doesn’t listen to those with knowledge of the regions."

    “Ultimately, his concern is not a stable or lasting peace but shoring up his own image and reputation and then monetizing these regions to enrich himself and others like him,” she added.

    “Trump’s efforts are mostly performative — they might look good at the surface level, but there is very little process behind the effort.”

    "This administration's approach to both (Ukraine and the Middle East) also suffers from Trump's personal impatience and his desire for quick results — he wants wins that he can take credit for, with the aim of getting past these messy conflicts and on to the money making."

    Israel-Iran war could provide economic boost Russia needs to continue fight against Ukraine
    Israel’s “preemptive” strikes against Iran targeting the country’s nuclear program and killing top military officials could have far-reaching implications for Ukraine and could boost Russia’s ability to continue its full-scale invasion, experts have told the Kyiv Independent. Iran has been one of Russia’s staunchest allies throughout the war, providing thousands
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasonsThe Kyiv IndependentChris York
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons

    An incoherent approach in Ukraine

    One of the problems is that Trump lacks a coherent plan, and his statements and actions are often chaotic and contradictory.

    "His approach to peace talks is highly personalized and driven by his own proclivities, rather than an evidence-based policy process," Neil Quilliam, a Middle East expert at Chatham House, told the Kyiv Independent.

    "Trump's efforts are mostly performative — they might look good at the surface level, but there is very little process behind the efforts. The traditional offices of state, which would lend substance and credibility to any peace process, have been excluded, and therefore, Trump's statements are empty statements."

    Mathers said that Trump "underestimates the complexity of these conflicts and the political, ideological and economic factors underpinning them."

    Daniel Hamilton, a foreign policy expert at the Brookings Institution, also argued that "despite his assertion that he is a 'peacemaker,' Donald Trump is ill-at-ease with diplomacy and the kind of sustained attention and engagement that such efforts require."

    Steve Witkoff, Trump's Middle East envoy who has also negotiated with Moscow on Ukraine, could not even name the Ukrainian regions illegally annexed by Russia.

    "He is so focused on making lucrative deals with Russia and in the Middle East that he cannot comprehend the passions that drive either conflict and so exacerbates existing tensions rather than ameliorating them," he added.

    Regarding Russia's war against Ukraine, Trump's aides, including his Ukraine envoy Keith Kellogg, had prepared a strategy before his return to power in January.

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C), National Security Advisor Mike Waltz (R), and Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff (L) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Feb. 18, 2025. (Evelyn Hockstein / AFP via Getty Images)

    Under the plan, the U.S. would cease military aid to Ukraine unless it agreed to hold peace negotiations with Russia. On the other hand, the U.S. would increase its military support for Ukraine if Russia refused to accept a peace deal.

    Instead of sticking to the plan, Trump has refused to increase military aid to Ukraine or sanction Russia despite Moscow's refusal to accept a ceasefire. He has also vacillated between criticizing the Kremlin and praising Russian President Vladimir Putin.

    "Part of the problem is that (Trump) sends mixed messages," Roland Paris, a professor of international affairs at the University of Ottawa, told the Kyiv Independent. "U.S. support for Ukraine has been on-again, off-again. He says he wants a peace agreement but also muses about letting Ukraine and Russia 'fight it out.'"

    Incompetence has also been a factor.

    In a March interview, Steve Witkoff, Trump's Middle East envoy who has also negotiated with Moscow on Ukraine, could not even name the Ukrainian regions illegally annexed by Russia.

    He also falsely claimed that residents of the regions had voted for joining Russia in 2022.

    Witkoff ignored massive evidence that the so-called "referendums" were held at gunpoint with widespread voter intimidation, that there was no way of monitoring the voting and its results, and that the votes contradicted international, Ukrainian and even Russian law.

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    Residents cast their votes in a sham 'referendum' in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, on Sept. 23, 2022. (Stringer / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

    A lack of Middle East strategy

    In the Middle East, Trump's team has also lacked any meaningful strategy.

    On Gaza, Trump has vacillated between backing an outlandish plan to put the Gaza Strip under U.S. control and expel its residents, supporting Israel's military operation in the area, and brokering a peace deal between Israel and Hamas. The three strategies appeared to contradict each other.

    His Iran policy has also been inconsistent.

    In 2018, the Trump administration withdrew from a deal on ending Iran's nuclear weapons program reached by his predecessor Barack Obama.

    "The Iranians remember very well what happened when they made a deal with the United States the first time — Trump just tore it up in 2018."

    This did not prevent Trump from trying to negotiate a similar deal on Iran's nuclear program starting from April 2025.

    "I think this track record is something that complicated Trump's attempts to reach an agreement with Iran," Aron Lund, a Middle East analyst at Century International, told the Kyiv Independent. "The Iranians remember very well what happened when they made a deal with the United States the first time — Trump just tore it up in 2018."

    Quilliam said that the U.S.-Iranian "talks have hardly focused on substance, and so the meetings to date may have made some progress, but it is largely superficial."

    As Trump fails to sanction Moscow, few expect breakthrough during upcoming Russia-Ukraine talks
    As Ukraine and Russia prepare for peace talks scheduled for June 2 in Istanbul, few observers expect a breakthrough. While the U.S. and Ukraine have pushed for an unconditional ceasefire, the Kremlin has rejected it. Instead, Moscow has regularly voiced maximalist demands that are unlikely to be accepted by
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasonsThe Kyiv IndependentOleg Sukhov
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons

    Backing Russia

    Another problem is Trump's delusional approach: calling himself an intermediary while backing one of the warring sides.

    "I do see similarities in Trump's approach to peace talks in both regions," Mathers said. "In both cases, Trump has clearly picked a side: Russia in the case of the war in Ukraine and Israel in the war in Gaza and now the conflict with Iran."

    She argued that, "although Trump might sometimes criticize Russia and Israel, he does not seem willing to go beyond verbal chastisement to taking concrete steps that might push those countries' leaders into changing their course of action, or at least suffering some consequences for continuing to pursue war."

    In the Russia-Ukraine War, Trump has consistently favored Moscow and spurned Kyiv.

    In February, Trump lashed out at President Volodymyr Zelensky during a meeting at the White House and ordered him to leave the building.

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump and President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office of the White House on Feb. 28, 2025. (Saul Loeb / AFP via Getty Images)

    In the aftermath of the clash, Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine in March before resuming it a week later. Although Ukraine keeps getting U.S. aid approved under ex-President Joe Biden, no new military assistance packages have been approved since Trump took office in January.

    Trump has also parroted Kremlin propaganda, including the narrative that Zelensky is an illegitimate "dictator."

    Despite Russia's refusal to accept a Trump-backed ceasefire, he has so far failed to impose any new sanctions on Russia.

    The Trump administration has also expressed readiness to make significant concessions to Moscow, including U.S. recognition of Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea, a ban on Ukraine's NATO membership, and lifting sanctions.

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    US President Donald Trump (L) chats with Russia's President Vladimir Putin (R) as they attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Danang, Vietnam, on Nov. 11, 2017. (Mikhail Klimentyev / SPUTNIK / AFP via Getty Images)

    Supporting Israel in the Middle East

    Meanwhile, Trump's Middle East policy has favored Israel.

    The ongoing escalation in the region started in October 2023, when the Gaza-based Islamist group Hamas, an Iranian proxy, invaded Israeli territory, massacred 1,195 people, and took 251 people hostage. Hezbollah, Iran's Lebanese proxy, also joined the war.

    Israel responded by invading Gaza and Lebanon. According to the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry, over 57,000 people have been killed in Gaza, although the Kyiv Independent could not independently verify the figure.

    In November 2024, Biden's team negotiated a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, and it is still in force.

    Before he took office on Jan. 20, Trump's team also brokered the Jan. 15 ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.

    The deal was expected to be implemented in three stages. It envisaged exchanging all Israeli hostages held by Hamas for Palestinians held by Israel and Israel's gradual withdrawal from Gaza.

    However, the agreement quickly unraveled as Israel and Hamas accused each other of violating it.

    In March, Israel and the U.S. proposed extending the first stage of the ceasefire deal instead of proceeding to the second stage. Hamas refused, and Israel resumed military action as a result.

    According to analysts, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was reluctant to move to the second phase because it could leave Hamas in control of the Gaza Strip. Israel's key military objective has been to eliminate Hamas to prevent attacks similar to the one carried out in October 2023.

    "Israel was not ready for an end to the conflict that involved Hamas retaining a presence in Gaza," David Butter, a Middle East expert at Chatham House, told the Kyiv Independent.

    Netanyahu was also afraid that his far-right allies would "blow up" the governing coalition if he fully implemented the ceasefire deal, Butter added.

    Trump has not done anything to prevent the deal from collapsing or to resurrect it.

    Lund said that Trump's "lack of consistency and follow-up is a huge problem."

    "Trump inherited or negotiated agreements in Lebanon and Gaza, and then he just allowed them to fall apart," he said. "Israel has been pushing the envelope on these agreements, or just breaking them outright as we saw in Gaza, and there was no reaction from the White House. U.S. diplomacy related to Gaza is now completely screwed up."

    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    Israeli air defense systems intercept Iranian missiles over Tel Aviv during a fresh barrage on June 16, 2025. (Menahem Kahana/AFP via Getty Images)
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
    U.S. President Donald Trump meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., on Feb. 4, 2025. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images)

    Quilliam argued that "Trump and Witkoff have failed to bridge the gap between the Israeli government and Hamas mostly because their positions are antithetical but also because the U.S. has been unwilling to push Netanyahu to make any meaningful compromise, and the Israeli prime minister knows that he has license to act with impunity."

    On the Iran issue, Trump initially tried to act as an intermediary between Iran and Israel and negotiate a deal to end Tehran's nuclear weapons program.

    But then Trump appeared to have forgotten his mediation efforts when Israel attacked Iranian nuclear facilities on June 13.

    Israel justified the attacks by saying that Iran was on the verge of creating a nuclear bomb. The Israeli government has sought to prevent Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons as Iranian leaders have repeatedly called for eliminating Israel.

    The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said on June 12 that Iran was in breach of its nuclear non-proliferation obligations, although IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi said in a June interview he had no proof that Tehran was currently developing a nuclear weapon.

    Trump fully backed Israel's war effort.

    Axios reported on June 17, citing unnamed sources, that Trump was weighing direct military action against Iran, including potential strikes on its nuclear facilities.

    The same day, Trump demanded Iran's "unconditional surrender" on Truth Social and threatened Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

    Lund said that "U.S. partisanship is something Israel's enemies have always complained about."

    He said that, before Trump, this partisanship had had some positive effects: "It kept Washington invested in their conflicts, and it gave the United States some leverage over Israel."

    "(Under Trump's predecessors) Washington constantly nudged agreements in Israel's direction, but was also able to bring Israel to the table and, sometimes, deliver an Israeli signature," Lund said.

    "That's what we're not seeing under Trump, so far. It's just all partisanship and pro-Israel posturing before his domestic audience, with very little actual delivery. There's no sense that Trump will, in the end, slam his fist on the table and say this is the deal, and we're sticking to it."

    Trump cuts to US weapons aid likely to hit Ukrainian civilians before front line
    Editor’s note: This article was updated on March 5 to include a statement from the U.S. European Command. President Donald Trump’s freeze on weapons is alarming Ukrainians, who look to U.S. air defense to stave off the worst of Russia’s missile attacks. A White House representative on
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasonsThe Kyiv IndependentKollen Post
    Trump's peace push falters in both Ukraine and the Middle East — for similar reasons
  • Russia says South Africa invited Putin to G20 summit despite ICC arrest warrant

    Russia says South Africa invited Putin to G20 summit despite ICC arrest warrant

    Russian President Vladimir Putin has received an official invitation to attend the G20 summit in South Africa, Russian Ambassador-at-Large Marat Berdyev said in an interview with state-owned media outlet RIA Novosti on June 19.

    South Africa is a member of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and a signatory to the Rome Statute, meaning it is obliged to arrest Putin if he enters the country.

    The ICC issued a warrant for the Russian leader’s arrest in March 2023 over the illegal deportation of Ukrainian children during Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

    “Last week, we received an official invitation. This is an appeal from the head of state, the president of South Africa (Cyril Ramaphosa), to his colleagues,” Berdyev said.

    The summit is scheduled to take place in Johannesburg from Nov. 22 to 23. Berdyev noted that Russia’s final decision on Putin’s participation will be made closer to the date. In recent years, Russia has been represented at G20 summits by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

    Despite the warrant, South Africa continues to deepen political and military ties with Moscow. In 2023, the country conducted joint naval drills with Russia and China, and maintains its membership in the BRICS bloc alongside both nations.

    In November 2024, Putin skipped the G20 summit in Brazil, another ICC member state, and sent Lavrov instead. Russia’s G20 participation has continued uninterrupted despite its war against Ukraine.

    In September 2024, Putin made a rare visit to Mongolia, which is also a signatory of the ICC, prompting criticism over the non-enforcement of the warrant.

    Putin-Trump meeting currently not on the table, Kremlin says
    “Until the necessary ‘homework’ is done to remove the irritants in our relations with the United States, it makes no sense to organize a meeting,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.
    Russia says South Africa invited Putin to G20 summit despite ICC arrest warrantThe Kyiv IndependentAnna Fratsyvir
    Russia says South Africa invited Putin to G20 summit despite ICC arrest warrant

  • Putin-Trump meeting currently not on the table, Kremlin says

    Putin-Trump meeting currently not on the table, Kremlin says

    A meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump is not currently on the table due to unresolved tensions in bilateral relations, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said in an interview with Russian state-controlled newspaper Izvestia on June 19.

    The U.S. president has repeatedly floated the idea of meeting Putin, saying the Russia-Ukraine war cannot be resolved without them talking face-to-face. Nevertheless, the two have not met since Trump returned to the White House this January.

    While Trump has adopted a more amicable policy toward Russia than his predecessor, U.S. ex-President Joe Biden, he has taken a more critical tone toward Moscow recently as Putin continues to reject a truce in Ukraine.

    “Until the necessary ‘homework’ is done to remove the irritants in our relations with the United States, it makes no sense to organize a meeting,” Peskov said. He added that while talks aimed at resolving these issues had begun, progress remained minimal and the key obstacles were still in place.

    His remarks come just days after the Russian Foreign Ministry claimed that Washington had canceled the next round of talks to restore diplomatic relations between the two countries.

    The meetings, which were expected to take place in Moscow, were part of a broader dialogue to address ongoing disputes, including Russia’s war against Ukraine, and improve the functioning of each side’s diplomatic missions.

    Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said the planned round was intended to “eliminate irritants,” such as staffing restrictions and banking issues for embassies. She expressed hope that the U.S. pause in talks “will not become too long."

    The last two rounds of discussions, in Riyadh in February and Istanbul in April, marked the first formal diplomatic contact between the U.S. and Russia since Moscow began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Both sides described the Istanbul round as “constructive,” though it focused largely on technical matters.

    The Trump administration has so far refrained from introducing new sanctions against Russia, despite pressure from Kyiv and growing alarm in Europe over Moscow’s continued refusal to agree to a ceasefire.

    President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly urged Washington to take a firmer stance, warning that “America’s silence… only encourages Putin."

    After a deadly Russian attack on Kyiv that killed 28 and injured over 130 people, Trump remained silent, with the U.S. Embassy only issuing a late statement denouncing the attack.

    ’100 days of Russian manipulations’ — Ukraine blasts Moscow over disregarding US ceasefire effort
    A hundred days since the U.S. and Ukraine agreed on a ceasefire, “Russia continues to choose war,” Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said on June 19, urging international pressure to push Moscow toward peace.
    Putin-Trump meeting currently not on the table, Kremlin saysThe Kyiv IndependentMartin Fornusek
    Putin-Trump meeting currently not on the table, Kremlin says
    c

  • The death of our dear Dog of War

    Close readers of The Counteroffensive will recall that last December, we tried to raise funds for our journalism by selling Dog of War calendars.

    For our June photo, we had Goldie, a pup who we found at the Hostomel dog shelter. A beautiful canine with some trust issues (well, who among us doesn’t have that?), she made the perfect portrait for the start of summer.

    Goldie as shown in our annual calendar.

    When we printed the calendar, we had no idea that the late spring and early summer would see rapidly-escalating Russian attacks throughout the country, terrorizing civilians on a far more frequent basis – and killing, injuring more too.

    The strain is not just acute, but cumulative and chronic. It is the feeling of perpetually not knowing whether you are safe. It is the concept that you are always one moment away from danger. The unknown plays like a shadow on the mind.

    The vulnerable and innocent suffer the most. The elderly, the children – and the dogs. A lot of times, the unbearable noise of explosions can be too much for a horrified animal.

    On Tuesday, Goldie was killed by Russia, the victim of yet another attack.

    "Our sunny Goldie is gone. The beauty could not stand another shelling, got scared, lost consciousness, and never woke up again… Light clouds, our incredible girl," the shelter wrote in a post on its Instagram.

    The post in honor of Goldie on the Instagram page of Hostomel dog shelter.

    Goldie spent her whole life in the shelter and got there as a little puppy almost nine years ago with her sister Jane. She never had an owner or some constant figure in her life to get affection from, so she had some trust issues. Despite this, she was the ambassador of the shelter, as they referred to her in the memorial post on their Instagram.

    "[She was] a ray of sunshine who met and saw off guests. The dog that always pleased with her presence and gentle attitude towards visitors," the shelter wrote in the post.

    The Counteroffensive reached out to get the specifics on what happened to Goldie.

    "She died of a heart attack. It happened instantly," said Maria Vronska, the owner of the shelter. The staff didn't even have a chance to help her. Goldie was a healthy dog, with all the necessary vaccines, according to Maria.

    It’s not the first time a dog in this shelter has died during a loud attack. Some older dogs died throughout the years of war, too, from the noises of Russian terror.

    “The shelter suffers quite a lot from the shelling, from the fact that it is very loud around, and we can't do anything to help the animals,” Maria said.

    The Counteroffensive is not immune from the pressures and strain of seemingly-constant attacks. On Wednesday I asked our entire team to take the day off – the news about Goldie, combined with a sleepless night for the entire team, meant that everyone could use a breather.

    Meanwhile we are trying to enhance our safety posture. We are covering the windows of our office in plastic to reduce its chance of shattering during an explosion; I’ve issued every person on our team a medical kit; and we will soon make sure that we have blow-up mattresses and ear plugs so that our team can get a reasonable night’s rest in their hallways.

    The Counteroffensive also covers the full cost of the team’s therapy sessions, which have become more necessary as the pressures of the war have increased.

    These all cost significant resources. If you want to help our team, you can by upgrading your subscription or hitting the tip jar below.

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    Want to send a note of encouragement to our team? Shoot one over in the comments below.

  • Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal

    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal

    Editor’s note: The story is being updated.

    Ukraine has brought home a group of soldiers released from Russian captivity, President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on June 19, marking yet another in a recent series of exchanges with Moscow.

    “These are soldiers of the Armed Forces, the National Guard, and the State Border Guard Service. Most of them have been in captivity since 2022,” Zelensky said, without revealing their numbers.

    The exchange follows four similar swaps carried out last week in accordance with Ukraine-Russia agreements reached at peace talks in Istanbul on June 2. As in the other recent cases, the latest swap focused on severely ill and wounded prisoners of war (POWs), Ukraine’s Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs said.

    Russia’s Defense Ministry also announced a prisoner exchange with the Ukrainian side, without specifying the number of soldiers involved.

    “Every defender released today has serious medical diagnoses and illnesses resulting from their injuries and captivity,” the Coordination Headquarters said.

    A significant part of the released captives defended Mariupol during the Russian siege in 2022, while others fought elsewhere in the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Kyiv oblasts. All of them are privates or non-commissioned officers.

    The oldest of the released captives was 63 years old, Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets said, adding that another, a 45-year-old service member, was released on his birthday.

    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal
    Ukrainian soldiers after being released from Russian captivity on June 19, 2025. (President Volodymyr Zelensky/Telegram)
    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal
    Ukrainian soldiers after being released from Russian captivity on June 19, 2025. (President Volodymyr Zelensky/Telegram)
    Ukraine, Russia carry out another POW exchange under Istanbul deal
    Ukrainian soldiers after being released from Russian captivity on June 19, 2025. (President Volodymyr Zelensky/Telegram)

    The Istanbul deal was reached during the second round of direct talks between the Ukrainian and Russian delegations in Istanbul at the beginning of the month.

    While no political breakthrough was achieved, both sides agreed to a phased exchange of prisoners and the repatriation of fallen soldiers' bodies. As part of that agreement, Russia pledged to return the bodies of up to 6,000 Ukrainian service members and citizens.

    Moscow has handed over 6,057 bodies to Ukraine in several stages over the past few days. Kyiv later said these also included fallen Russian soldiers, though it is unclear whether this was done on purpose or by accident.