Ukraine is in a war of attrition that may continue for a long time2.In the 2022 CEPR Rapid Policy Response “Macroeconomic Policies for Wartime Ukraine” we provided comprehensive recommendations on policies to ensure that Ukraine has sufficient …
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Spies, Lies, and Algorithms
Amy B. Zegart
- Zelensky sends Ukrainian delegation to Istanbul, as peace talks with Russia are expected on May 16
- Trump expects no progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks until he meets Putin
- Pro-Ukraine partisans sabotage railway track near …
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Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for Ukraine (and Europe)
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BREAKING: Ukraine, Russia start peace talks in Turkey for first time since 2022

Editor’s Note: This is a developing story and is being updated.
Ukrainian and Russian delegates started peace talks in Istanbul on May 16, marking the first direct negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow since 2022, Sky News and Russian state news …
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Ukraine reportedly accuses Russia of undermining peace talks with last-minute demands

Ukraine has blamed Russia for undermining the expected peace talks in Istanbul by demanding a one-on-one meeting, excluding Turkish or U.S. officials, at the last minute, Sky News and the Guardian reported on May 16.
The news comes before what would …
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Ukraine brings back bodies of 909 fallen soldiers

Ukraine has repatriated the bodies of 909 soldiers who died fighting against Russia, the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of the Prisoners of War reported on May 16.
The bodies of soldiers were recovered from Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, …
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Trump says he's returning to US, expects to meet Putin 'as soon as we can set it up'

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters on May 16 that a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin may happen soon, as he wraps up his Middle East trip and heads back to Washington.
“I think it’s time for us to just do it,” Trump …
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NATO set to agree on 5% GDP defense spending, Rubio says

NATO members will have agreed to a goal of increasing defense spending to 5% of GDP over the next decade by the NATO summit this June, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on May 15.
The allies are set to gather for an annual summit in The Hague …
Russia
Rutte: PUTIN MADE A MISTAKE by sending a low-level delegation to the talks in Istanbul #shorts
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Ukraine holds meeting with US, Turkey ahead of peace talks with Russia

Editor’s note: This is a developing story.
Ukrainian, U.S., and Turkish delegates met in Istanbul on May 16 for a trilateral meeting, Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry said ahead of the expected peace talks with Russia.
Ukraine’s Foreign …
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Ukrainian delegates reportedly meet Kellogg, French, German, UK advisors before Istanbul talks

Presidential Office chief Andriy Yermak, Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha, and Defense Minister Rustem Umerov met with French, German, U.K., and U.S. officials in Istanbul on May 16, Suspilne reported, citing sources in the Ukrainian delegation. …
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Ukraine, Russia, Turkey to hold trilateral peace talks after midday, media reports

Ukrainian, Russian, and Turkish officials will hold trilateral talks in Istanbul on May 16 at 12:30 p.m. local time as part of peace efforts, Turkish state news agency Anadolu reported, citing Turkish Foreign Ministry sources.
The discussions, which …
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Zelensky arrives in Albania for European Political Community summit

Editor’s note: This story is being updated.
President Volodymyr Zelensky arrived in Albania on May 16 to attend a summit of the European Political Community, presidential spokesperson Serhii Nykyforov said, according to the state news channel …
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Russian attacks kill 3, injure 15 in Ukraine over past day

Russian attacks across Ukrainian regions killed at least three civilians and injured 15 over the past day, regional authorities reported on May 16.
The attacks took place as Russian and Ukrainian delegates are set to meet in Istanbul in what would be …
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Explosions rock occupied Crimea as drone attack reportedly sets Russian ammo depot on fire

A fire broke out at an ammunition depot in the village of Perevalne in Russian-occupied Crimea following a series of explosions during a drone attack on the morning of May 16, the Crimean Wind Telegram channel reported, citing local residents.
The …
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General Staff: Russia has lost 971,690 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022

Russia has lost 971,690 troops in Ukraine since the beginning of its full-scale invasion on Feb. 24, 2022, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces reported on May 16.
The number includes 1,100 casualties Russian forces suffered just over the …
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Ukraine 'lost contact' with F-16 during combat, pilot ejected, Air Force says

The Air Force “lost contact” with an F-16 jet during a mission to repel a Russian aerial attack overnight on May 16 following an emergency situation on board, the Air Force reported.
The pilot diverted the plane away from populated areas …
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Ukraine to receive $84 million from World Bank to restore homes damaged in Russia's war

Ukraine will receive $84 million from the World Bank to restore housing damaged in Russia’s war, the Finance Ministry announced on May 15.
On April 2, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal announced that Ukraine will receive $432 million in funding from …
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Ukrainian citizen charged in arson attacks on UK Prime Minister's property

Ukrainian citizen, Roman Lavrynovych, was charged on May 15 following a series of arson attacks on property linked to U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
The suspect is accused of starting fires on two properties linked to Starmer and setting one of …
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Explosions heard in Kyiv amid Russian drone attack as Ukraine-Russia peace talks loom

Editor’s note: This is a developing story and is being updated.
Explosions were heard in Kyiv amid a Russian drone attack on the capital in the early hours of May 16, as Ukraine and Russia are set to begin peace talks later in the day. …
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Ukraine faces more diplomatic pressure to end war than Russia, Zelensky says

Ukraine has faced more diplomatic pressure than Moscow has to end Russia’s war, President Volodymyr Zelensky said on May 14.
"(U.S.) President (Donald) Trump thought that it will help if we (pressure) both sides… I think they …
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'Putin did not show up' — EU to adopt Russian sanctions on May 20 after Putin snubbed peace talks with Zelensky

The European Union will adopt sanctions against Russia on May 20 in response to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s declining to attend face-to-face talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on May …
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Upwards of 640,000 Russian soldiers fighting against Ukraine, Syrskyi says

Russia’s ground forces participating in combat against Ukraine amount to upwards of 640,000 soldiers, Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said on May 15.
“Moscow has turned its aggression against Ukraine into a war of …
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Russia ready to begin peace talks with Ukraine on May 16, Russian official says

Editor’s note: This is a developing story and is being updated.
A Russian delegation will await its Ukrainian counterparts to begin direct peace talks at 10 a.m. local time in Istanbul on May 16, Vladimir Medinsky, Russia’s delegation lead …
Russia
RUSSIANS have been constantly ATTACKING for several months now, — Zelenskyy #shorts
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'We didn't oppose it' — Rubio denies opposing Zelensky's participation at NATO summit

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on May 15 denied reports that the United States opposes President Volodymyr Zelensky’s participation at the upcoming NATO summit in The Hague.
When asked by reporters whether the U.S. opposed Zelensky’s …
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Ukraine war latest: Zelensky sends delegation to Turkey, as peace talks with Russia are expected on May 16

Key developments on May 15: