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Spies, Lies, and Algorithms

Amy B. Zegart


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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Kerch Strait oil spill significantly smaller than initially thought, Russia claims

    Kerch Strait oil spill significantly smaller than initially thought, Russia claims

    The amount of oil spilled in the Kerch Strait by two Russian oil tankers is “significantly less than the initial estimate,” Russia’s Transport Ministry claimed on Jan. 2.

    Two Russian oil tankers,Volgoneft 212 and Volgoneft 239, …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    USA

    'Trump can be decisive in ending war' —Zelensky on Ukraine's outlook for 2025

    'Trump can be decisive in ending war' —Zelensky on Ukraine's outlook for 2025

    President Volodymyr Zelensky, joined alongside his wife First Lady Olena Zelenska, delivered a candid, wide-ranging interview on Ukrainian television released on Jan. 2, laying out his vision for Ukraine’s prospects for a potential peace in …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    US looking into restricting or banning drones made by 'foreign adversaries,' including China, Russia

    US looking into restricting or banning drones made by 'foreign adversaries,' including China, Russia

    The U.S. Commerce Department announced on Jan. 2 that it would explore how to secure the technology and supply chain of drones from foreign adversaries, including China and Russia.

    The department’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) said in a …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukrainian Forces strike Russian command center in Kursk Region

    On Thursday, January 2, Ukrainian Armed Forces reportedly launched an attack on what is claimed to be a Russian military command post in Mar'ino village, located in Russia’s Kursk region.

    "These strikes are aimed primarily at reducing the Russian …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukrainian sea drones strike: two Russian helicopters downed, one damaged over Black Sea

    Ukrainian intelligence has successfully downed two Russian Mi-8 helicopters over the Black Sea, while another has been severely damaged, reported the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine on Thursday, January 2 . …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukraine reports record Russian military losses in 2024

    Ukraine's military claims substantial Russian casualties equivalent to 36 motorized rifle divisions over the past year. According to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, in 2024 alone, Russia reportedly lost more than 430,000 soldiers, with the heaviest …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukraine's maritime drones redefine Black Sea warfare: a strategic blow to Russia

    Ukraine's military has dealt a significant blow to Russian forces in the Black Sea, leveraging unmanned boats armed with air-to-air missiles, effectively turning the tide in the ongoing conflict. The success of these unmanned systems has left Russian …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    Command and Consequences: Ukraine’s Systematic Failures and Potential Solutions

    As 2025 begins and a new U.S. presidential administration prepares to enter the White House, the discussion about Ukraine’s battlefield setbacks and the war’s trajectory remains as necessary as ever.

    In this in-depth opinion piece written for the …

SBI opened a criminal case against 155th Brigade

A clear example of the problems within the Armed Forces, especially regarding the formation of new brigades.

Source

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Ukraine

Russia

Photos

Transnistria faces industrial collapse after Russian gas suspension, senior official says

Transnistria faces industrial collapse after Russian gas suspension, senior official says

The cessation of Russian gas supplies via Ukraine has halted all industrial activity in Moldova’s Russian-occupied Transnistria, Sergey Obolonik, the first deputy chairman of the Transnistrian administration, said on Jan. 2.

Russia’s state-owned …

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Ukraine

Russia

Photos

Ukraine war latest: Kyiv strikes Russian command post in Kursk Oblast, General Staff claims

Ukraine war latest: Kyiv strikes Russian command post in Kursk Oblast, General Staff claims

Key developments on Jan. 2:

  • Ukraine strikes Russian command post in Kursk Oblast, General Staff claims
  • Ukraine downed 2 Russian helicopters in sea drone attack, HUR says
  • Kyiv to conduct review of Ground Forces command, defense minister announces
  • Russian …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Slovakia may cut aid to Ukrainian refugees over Russian gas transit halt, PM Fico says

Slovakia may cut aid to Ukrainian refugees over Russian gas transit halt, PM Fico says

Slovakia could reduce aid for Ukrainian refugees in response to Ukraine’s decision to terminate Russian gas transit through its territory, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said on Jan. 2

While Fico said that Slovak households would not face energy …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Finland requests seizure of Russian 'shadow fleet' tanker over suspected cable sabotage

Finland requests seizure of Russian 'shadow fleet' tanker over suspected cable sabotage

Finland’s national grid operator Fingrid has asked a court to seize the Eagle S oil tanker in connection with the damage to the Estlink 2 undersea electricity cable, Reuters reported on Jan. 2.

The cable, a 170-kilometer (106-mile) critical …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Ukraine to conduct review of Ground Forces command, defense minister announces

Ukraine to conduct review of Ground Forces command, defense minister announces

Ukraine is to carry out a comprehensive review of the Ground Forces command, Defense Minister Rustem Umerov announced on Jan. 2, to be conducted by the Defense Ministry’s Main Inspectorate.

“Victory requires a deep analysis of experience, and an …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Russia loses key leverage over Europe after Ukraine halts gas transit, FM Sybiha says

Russia loses key leverage over Europe after Ukraine halts gas transit, FM Sybiha says

Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said on Jan. 2 that halting the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine has stripped the Kremlin of one of its remaining tools to pressure European nations.

Ukraine terminated Russian natural gas transit through its …

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Ukraine

Russia

Photos

Citing Orban’s 'corruption,' Hungarian opposition leader calls for early elections in video address

Citing Orban’s 'corruption,' Hungarian opposition leader calls for early elections in video address

Hungarian opposition leader Peter Magyar called for early elections in a New Year’s video address on Jan. 1, citing Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s declining popularity and allegations of corruption.

Orban has faced mounting criticism domestically and …

Ukraine

Russia

Russian troops continue attacks on Chasiv Yar

In a report to Espresso TV, a spokesperson for the 24th Separate Mechanized Brigade named after King Danylo, Andriy Polukhin, stated that Russian infantry units continue their daily assaults on Ukrainian positions near the city of Chasiv Yar in …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Ukraine strikes Russian command post in Kursk Oblast, General Staff claims

Ukraine strikes Russian command post in Kursk Oblast, General Staff claims

The Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted a precision strike on a Russian army command post in Maryino, Kursk Oblast, Ukraine’s General Staff reported on Jan. 2.

“These attacks are primarily carried out to weaken Russia’s ability and …

Ukraine

Russia

Ukrainian Forces successfully thwart Russian attempts to encircle Pokrovsk amid heavy combat

In an effort to encircle the city Pokrovsk, Russian forces are striving to sever infrastructure connections, according to Ukrainian military sources. Despite no urban combat within city limits, Russian troops are attempting to surround Pokrovsk via …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Polish farmers to protest Ukrainian imports, EU policies, in Warsaw on Jan. 3

Polish farmers to protest Ukrainian imports, EU policies, in Warsaw on Jan. 3

Polish farmers are planning a large protest in Warsaw to voice opposition to agricultural imports from Ukraine, and EU agricultural policies, Farmer.pl reported on Jan. 2.

The protest, which will take place on Jan. 3, follows a series of …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Returning to ‘normal life’ after Russian captivity

Editor’s Note: Happy New Year from us at The Counteroffensive – thanks to everyone who signed up as a paid subscriber in 2024. We hope to earn your trust and interest with every story, and every issue.

And if you haven’t upgraded yet, what are you …

Ukraine

Russia

In early 2025, sabotage of undersea cables in the Baltic Sea near Finland marks a new stage in Russian hybrid warfare, introducing covert maritime sabotage threats in Northern Europe.

The recent sabotage of Baltic Sea undersea cables near Finland by cargo ships represents a significant evolution in Russian hybrid warfare tactics as the war in Ukraine approaches its final stages. This incident exemplifies a shift towards covert …

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Ukraine

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Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 7

Ukraine Reforms Tracker Weekly — Issue 7

Editor’s note: This is issue 7 of Ukrainian lawmaker Yaroslav Zhelezniak’s weekly “Ukraine Reforms Tracker” covering events from Dec. 23-Dec. 31, 2024. This newsletter was until recently titled “Ukrainian Economy in Brief." The …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Ukraine downs 2 Russian helicopters in sea drone attack

Ukraine downs 2 Russian helicopters in sea drone attack

Two Russian helicopters were downed in a recent strike by the Ukrainian-made Magura V5 naval strike drones, Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (HUR) reported on its Telegram channel.

HUR earlier reported on Dec. 31 that one of its units had …

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Ukraine

Russia

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Leader of German social-democrats supports more phone calls between Scholz and Putin

Leader of German social-democrats supports more phone calls between Scholz and Putin

More phone calls should take place between German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Russian President Vladimir Putin, the leader of Germany’s social-democratic party (SPD) Saskia Esken told German television news channel N-Tv on Jan. 2.

“These conversations …