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Spies, Lies, and Algorithms

Amy B. Zegart


    Ukraine

    Russia

    Russia’s war on Ukraine. 03.01.25

    On the Kursk direction, the “Siversk” Operational Tactical Group (OTG) units launched a missile strike on the concentration area of the 810th Separate Marines Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet in the village of Ivanovskoe and are holding back the …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Russia launches over 300 drones, 20 missiles at Ukraine in first 3 days of new year, Zelensky says

    Russia launches over 300 drones, 20 missiles at Ukraine in first 3 days of new year, Zelensky says

    Russia launched more than 300 drones and 20 missiles, including ballistic missiles, at Ukrainian cities and villages over the first three days of the new year, President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Jan. 3.

    In the first days of 2025, Russia carried out …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Slovak state energy company to continue supplying electricity to Ukraine despite Fico's threats

    Slovak state energy company to continue supplying electricity to Ukraine despite Fico's threats

    Slovakia’s state-controlled transmission system operator SEPS said it will continue supplying electricity to Ukraine as part of an emergency assistance contract, despite threats from Slovak Prime Minister Roberto Fico, the iRozhlas media outlet …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Woman injured in Russian Jan. 3 attack on Kyiv Oblast dies in hospital

    Woman injured in Russian Jan. 3 attack on Kyiv Oblast dies in hospital

    A woman injured by falling drone debris during a Russian attack on Kyiv Oblast on Jan. 3 died in the hospital, the Kyiv Military Administration reported on Jan. 4.

    Russia launched a large-scale drone attack on Kyiv Oblast early in the morning on Jan. …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Russian attacks across Ukraine kill 2, injure 21 over past day

    Russian attacks across Ukraine kill 2, injure 21 over past day

    Russian strikes against Ukraine killed two civilians and injured 21 over the past day, regional authorities reported on Jan. 4.

    Russian forces launched 81 drones at Ukraine overnight from the Russian cities of Bryansk, Kursk, Orel, and …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    General Staff: Russia has lost 794,760 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022

    General Staff: Russia has lost 794,760 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022

    Russia has lost 794,760 troops in Ukraine since the beginning of its full-scale invasion on Feb. 24, 2022, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces reported on Jan. 4.

    This number includes 1,510 casualties Russian forces suffered just over …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Protests

    Photos

    Lukashenko to visit China ahead of Belarus presidential elections

    Lukashenko to visit China ahead of Belarus presidential elections

    Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko will visit China this month ahead of the Jan. 26 presidential elections, Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation reported on Jan. 3.

    With Belarus isolated from the West due to Lukashenko’s …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Finnish court upholds seizure of Russian tanker suspected of cable sabotage

    Finnish court upholds seizure of Russian  tanker suspected of cable sabotage

    The Helsinki District Court ruled on Jan. 3 to uphold Finland’s seizure of the Russian Eagle S oil tanker, denying an appeal to release the ship and its crew.

    Finnish authorities allege the ship damaged a crucial undersea power cable, possibly …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    EU chief von der Leyen ill with 'severe' pneumonia, cancels engagements

    EU chief von der Leyen ill with 'severe' pneumonia, cancels engagements

    European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has canceled upcoming engagements due to a case of pneumonia, Commission spokesperson Stefan de Keersmaecker said on Jan. 3.

    Von der Leyen, 66, has led the executive body of the European Union since …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Moldova faces 'security crisis' after Russian gas shut-off, PM Recean says

    Moldova faces 'security crisis' after Russian gas shut-off, PM Recean says

    Russia’s decision to cut off gas supplies to Moldova has thrown the country into a “security crisis,” Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean said on Jan. 3.

    The Russian state energy company Gazprom halted gas deliveries to Moldova on …

    Russia

    Danish police investigate mysterious drone sightings over the port of Koge amid Baltic Sea tensions on January 4, 2025.

    On January 4, 2025, Danish police investigated the sightings of approximately 20 drones over the port city of Koge, southwest of Copenhagen. The drones were seen on a Friday night by eyewitnesses, but the origins, purpose, and operators remain …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    USA

    China may have stopped Putin from using nuclear weapons, Blinken says

    China may have stopped Putin from using nuclear weapons, Blinken says

    China may have talked Russian President Vladimir Putin out of deploying nuclear weapons amid Russia’s war against Ukraine, outgoing U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in an interview with the Financial Times (FT) on Jan. 3.

    Beijing has …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Record number of Russian drones enter Belarusian airspace at start of 2025

    In the early hours of January 1, 2025, at precisely 02:17, the first drone of the new year ventured into Belarus via Komaryn, subsequently heading towards Bragin where it disappeared. The Telegram channel Belaruski Hajun reports that between December …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Transnistria rejects offer to buy gas from Europe, expects Russia to resume supplies

    Transnistria rejects offer to buy gas from Europe, expects Russia to resume supplies

    The Russian-occupied Transnistria region of Moldova has rejected Chisinau’s offer to help the region purchase gas via European platforms, Vadim Cheban, head of the state energy company Moldovagaz, said on Jan. 3.

    Transnistria instead expects …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Update from Rochan

    Hello guys,

    I would like to share some exciting news.

    This week Rochan welcomed Ivan Torres to our team. He is a well-known analyst who has covered the war in Ukraine from the start and published many important operational-strategic insights. His maps …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukraine's ambitious 2025 defense strategy: monthly deployment of 2,500 long-range drones and increased military investments

    Ukrainian Forces are set to unleash a formidable new capability in the coming year: up to 2,500 long-range drones aimed at Russian military targets each month. This ambitious plan draws a stark comparison with Russia's production of around 2,000 …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    'We are not Russia' — Thousands protest Fico's pro-Kremlin agenda in Bratislava

    'We are not Russia' — Thousands protest  Fico's pro-Kremlin agenda in Bratislava

    Thousands of people gathered in the streets of Bratislava on Jan. 3 to protest Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s pro-Russian policies, the Slovak news outlet Aktuality reported.

    The demonstrations began less than two weeks after Fico visited …

    OPFOR battalion becomes an assault unit

    A new assault unit within the structure of the Army.

    Source

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    USA

    Ukraine war latest: Russian envoy dismisses Trump’s reported peace deal; Over 50,000 Russians seek soldiers MIA

    Ukraine war latest: Russian envoy dismisses Trump’s reported peace deal; Over 50,000 Russians seek soldiers MIA

    Key developments on Jan. 3:

    • Over 50,000 Russians seek MIA through Ukraine’s project, representative says
    • ‘Nothing interesting’ — Russian envoy dismisses Trump’s reported peace deal proposals on Ukraine
    • Germany should not rule out …

    Russia

    Logistical struggles: Russian forces face constraints in Pokrovsk encirclement strategy

    Amid widespread speculation about a Russian military plan to encircle Pokrovsk before launching an assault, military analyst Oleksandr Kovalenko has revealed why this scenario might not be feasible and outlines the potential strategies of …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    USA

    'Nothing of interest' — Russian envoy dismisses Trump’s reported peace deal proposals on Ukraine

    'Nothing of interest' — Russian envoy dismisses Trump’s reported peace deal proposals on Ukraine

    U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s team has not presented anything “interesting” to Moscow regarding ending the war in Ukraine, Russia’s envoy to the U.N., Vasily Nebenzya, said on Jan. 3 in an interview with the …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Ukraine hits $24.5 billion in agro-exports, nearing pre-war levels, Agriculture Ministry reports

    Ukraine hits $24.5 billion in agro-exports, nearing pre-war levels, Agriculture Ministry reports

    Ukraine’s agricultural exports reached $24.5 billion in 2024, accounting for 59% of the country’s total exports, the Agriculture Ministry reported on Jan. 3.

    This marks a significant recovery, nearing pre-war levels and achieving the …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Climate

    Germany's uranium imports from Russia surge by 70% despite energy sanctions

    Germany imported at least 68.6 tons of uranium from Russia in 2024, according to data from the Lower Saxony Ministry of Environment, Energy, and Climate Protection, as reported by Spiegel. This marks a 70% increase in imports of this resource …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Protests

    Photos

    Vladimir Putin's 25-year-long reign over Russia in photos

    Vladimir Putin's 25-year-long reign over Russia in photos

    Russian President Boris Yeltsin officially resigned on Dec. 31, 1999, anointing Vladimir Putin, then prime minister, as his successor.

    Following the hardline stance against terrorism and the successful conduct of the Second Chechen War, Putin won the …

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Photos

    Ukrainian Navy ensures safe passage for over 9,000 vessels through sea corridor in 2024, Navy Commander says

    Ukrainian Navy ensures safe passage for over 9,000 vessels through sea corridor in 2024, Navy Commander says

    The Ukrainian Navy facilitated the safe passage of 9,061 civilian vessels through its sea corridor in 2024, Navy Commander Oleksii Neizhpapa said on Jan. 3.

    Following Russia’s termination of the grain deal in July 2023, Ukraine opened a new …