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Spies, Lies, and Algorithms

Amy B. Zegart


    Russia

    Russia sells gas to China at nearly 40% discount, ministry data shows

    Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller has said the gas price for China should be “objectively lower” than for Europe because deliveries to China are shorter.

    This year, Russia is selling gas to China at a discount of nearly 40%, The Moscow Times reported, citing …

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    Russia

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    Russia to import gasoline from Asia as nearly 40% of refining capacity shuts down, media reports

    Russia to import gasoline from Asia as nearly 40% of refining capacity shuts down, media reports

    Russia is considering importing fuel from China, South Korea, and Singapore to stabilize its domestic market, according to Kommersant.

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    Russia

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    Raiffeisen fails to sell stake in Russia as Moscow opposes the move, Reuters reports

    Raiffeisen fails to sell stake in Russia as Moscow opposes the move, Reuters reports

    Russian authorities fear that a Russian buyer taking over the stake would leave Raiffeisen vulnerable to U.S. sanctions, according to Reuters.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    Russian territorial gains in Ukraine drop sharply in September, monitoring group says

    Russian territorial gains in Ukraine drop sharply in September, monitoring group says

    The pace of Russia’s territorial advances in Ukraine slowed significantly in September, with Russian forces seizing 44% less land compared to August, the Ukrainian monitoring group DeepState reported on Oct. 1.

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    Ukraine

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    USA

    Ukraine welcomes Trump's Gaza peace plan

    Ukraine welcomes Trump's Gaza peace plan

    "Ukraine highly values the leadership role of the United States in efforts to restore peace and stability in the Middle East, and in maintaining international peace and security," the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

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    Unidentified drones may have spied on critical infrastructure in Germany, media reports

    Unidentified drones may have spied on critical infrastructure in Germany, media reports

    The drones flew over power plants, a university hospital, military installations, and the official residence of Schleswig-Holstein’s state government.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    Russian attacks kill 5, injure 51 in Ukraine over past day

    Russian attacks kill 5, injure 51 in Ukraine over past day

    Russia launched 49 Shahed-type attack drones and decoy drones against Ukraine overnight, as well as four Iskander-M or KN-23 ballistic missiles, the Air Force reported.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    Ukrainian drone kills member of Russian occupation administration in Kherson Oblast, Kremlin proxy claims

    Ukrainian drone kills member of Russian occupation administration in Kherson Oblast, Kremlin proxy claims

    Leontiev, 61, previously served as the head of the Russian-installed administration in the town of Nova Kakhovka.

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    Photos

    Floods and heavy rainfall hit Odesa, killing 9, including child

    Floods and heavy rainfall hit Odesa, killing 9, including child

    The bodies of nine people were found during the search and rescue operations: six women, two men, and an 8-year-old child.

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    Russia

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    Fire erupts at major Russian oil refinery in Yaroslavl

    Fire erupts at major Russian oil refinery in Yaroslavl

    A fire broke out early on Oct. 1 at a Russian oil refinery in northwestern Yaroslavl Oblast, local authorities reported, calling it a "man-made" incident not connected to any attacks.

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    Russia

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    Taiwan becomes leading importer of Russian naphtha in first half of 2025, report says

    Taiwan becomes leading importer of Russian naphtha in first half of 2025, report says

    The island's monthly imports surged sixfold between 2022 and early 2025, generating $1.7 billion in mineral extraction tax revenues for Russia, according to a joint report by a group of NGOs.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    General Staff: Russia has lost 1,111,480 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022

    General Staff: Russia has lost 1,111,480 troops in Ukraine since Feb. 24, 2022

    The number includes 920 casualties that Russian forces suffered over the past day.

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    Ukraine

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    Romania to develop joint drone production with Ukraine to protect NATO's eastern flank, Romanian FM says

    Romania to develop joint drone production with Ukraine to protect NATO's eastern flank, Romanian FM says

    Romanian Foreign Minister Oana Toiu confirmed on Sept. 30 Bucharest's plans to partner with Ukraine to produce drones under a European Union-funded defense initiative.

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    Russia

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    Police investigating after unidentified drone spotted over Norwegian airport

    Police investigating after unidentified drone spotted over Norwegian airport

    The incident comes amid heightened concerns across Europe over the presence of unauthorized drones near critical infrastructure, particularly in the wake of increased geopolitical tensions and frequent airspace violations involving Russia.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    Russia extends ban on gasoline exports, limits diesel shipments amid Ukrainian fuel disruptions

    Russia extends ban on gasoline exports, limits diesel shipments amid Ukrainian fuel disruptions

    The new measures comes amid a wave of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, which have strained supplies and forced Moscow to cut shipments.

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    Russia

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    Austria expels Russian diplomat suspected of spying on oil company

    Austria expels Russian diplomat suspected of spying on oil company

    Austria expelled a Russian diplomat on Sept. 30 over suspicions that the diplomat relayed company secrets from Austrian oil company OMV along to the Kremlin.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

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    SBU records nearly 50,000 Shahed drone launches against Ukraine since 2022

    SBU records nearly 50,000 Shahed drone launches against Ukraine since 2022

    Russia has often used Shahed drones against non-military targets, destroying or damaging residential buildings and other civilian facilities protected under international humanitarian law.

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    US reportedly deploys submarine-hunting aircraft to Norway amid rising tensions in Baltic region

    US reportedly deploys submarine-hunting aircraft to Norway amid rising tensions in Baltic region

    The P-8, designed for anti-submarine warfare, surface surveillance, and intelligence gathering, was photographed at Oslo’s Gardermoen Airport on Sept. 23.

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukrainian forces turn the tide: Russia’s offensive slows for a second straight month

    Russia captured half as much territory in September as it did in August, with the pace of its offensive slowing for a second straight month. Ukrainian fortifications have halted advances on key axes.

    Ukraine has managed to stabilize parts of the …

    Ukraine

    Russia

    USA

    From a Russian prison, Girkin says Trump is right that Russia is a ‘paper tiger’ with no prospect of victory

    US President Donald Trump was right in assessing Russia’s prospects in the war against Ukraine, convicted in Russia as a terrorist and war criminal Igor Girkin (also known as Strelkov) wrote on Telegram, in a post published by his wife, Miroslava …

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    Ukraine

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    AI in the Ukrainian defense industry: new innovations on the market! #shorts

    AI in the Ukrainian defense industry: new innovations on the market! #shorts

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    Russia

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    Zelensky warns of 'critical' situation at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant after weeklong outage

    Zelensky warns of 'critical' situation at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant after weeklong outage

    Zelensky accused Moscow of obstructing the repair of the power lines through continued shelling: "And this is a threat to absolutely everyone. No terrorist in the world has ever dared to do to a nuclear plant what Russia is doing right now."

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    Ukraine

    Russia

    USA

    Orban says Hungary will shoot down Russian drones

    Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said Russian drones that violate his country’s airspace will be shot down. He also believes Russia has already “won” the war against Ukraine.

    Viktor Orban said in an interview with the YouTube channel Harcosok …

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    Ukraine

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    Drone revolution: Ukrainian FPV drone downs helicopter! Belgorod left without power

    Drone revolution: Ukrainian FPV drone downs helicopter! Belgorod left without power

    Source

    Ukraine

    Russia

    Ukraine’s GUR says it killed Russian National Guard lieutenant colonel from Avangard unit in Stavropol Krai

    Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (GUR) said its operatives killed a Russian National Guard lieutenant colonel and two other Rosgvardiya personnel in Russia’s Stavropol region on September 27. The officer led a group from the Russian special …